The Southeast Division clash at Spectrum Center pits a Hawks team fighting to maintain their division lead against a depleted Hornets squad that has lost 11 of their last 14 games.
While Atlanta's Trae Young comes in hot off a 28-point performance against Brooklyn, Charlotte's offensive woes continue with the team shooting a league-worst 42.7% from the field and missing key players Brandon Miller and Grant Williams to season-ending injuries.
The home team Hornets will need Mark Williams to build on his recent 18-point, 15-rebound effort if they hope to prevent the away team Hawks from securing their fourth straight victory in this matchup.
Charlotte Hornets vs. Atlanta Hawks prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Charlotte Hornets vs Atlanta Hawks matchup, our predictive model gives the Hawks a 72.5% chance of defeating the Hornets.
Pre-game probabilities
Atlanta Hawks
Moneyline
Win %
72.5%
27.5%
Charlotte Hornets
Atlanta Hawks: 72.5% win probability
- Superior offensive output (7,961 points scored this season vs Hornets' 7,085)
- Better league position (7th in East vs Hornets' 14th place)
- Stronger recent form (3 wins in last 5 games vs Hornets' 2 wins)
Charlotte Hornets: 27.5% win probability
- Poor scoring efficiency (League-worst 7,085 points scored in Eastern Conference)
- Defensive struggles (7,599 points against, showing significant vulnerability)
- Disappointing win rate (17 wins in 67 games, translating to just 25.4% win percentage)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts..
| Charlotte Hornets | Atlanta Hawks | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
Charlotte Hornets vs. Atlanta Hawks preview
The struggling Charlotte Hornets host the Atlanta Hawks at Spectrum Center in what's shaping up to be a lopsided Southeast Division clash.
The Hawks, despite their own inconsistencies, have found ways to stay atop the division thanks to Trae Young's electric performances, including his recent 28-point, 12-assist showing against Brooklyn.
Charlotte's been hit hard by injuries, with Brandon Miller's wrist surgery and Grant Williams' season-ending knee issue leaving huge holes in their rotation, though Mark Williams has stepped up with impressive double-double performances.
The Hawks' high-octane offense (117.1 points per game) should feast against a Hornets team that's lost 11 of their last 14 games and can't seem to find their shooting touch, hitting a league-worst 42.7% from the field.
While Atlanta's dealing with their own injury concerns - missing Jalen Johnson and Larry Nance Jr. - they've managed to maintain their offensive identity through Young's playmaking and their league-leading assist numbers.
The Hawks have dominated this matchup lately, winning the last three meetings, including a convincing 123-110 victory in their most recent clash.
Keep an eye on the paint battle between Clint Capela and Mark Williams, with the young Hornets center coming off an impressive 18-point, 15-rebound performance despite his team's recent struggles.
In what's been a forgettable season for Charlotte, they'll need to find some magic at home to snap their skid against an Atlanta team that's fighting to maintain their playoff positioning.
Charlotte Hornets vs. Atlanta Hawks form
Charlotte Hornets vs. Atlanta Hawks head to head
Charlotte Hornets
40%
Atlanta Hawks
60%
Mar 18, 2025
Charlotte Hornets
0 : 0
Atlanta Hawks
Mar 12, 2025
Atlanta Hawks
123 : 110
Charlotte Hornets
Nov 30, 2024
Charlotte Hornets
104 : 107
Atlanta Hawks
Oct 25, 2024
Atlanta Hawks
125 : 120
Charlotte Hornets
Apr 10, 2024
Atlanta Hawks
114 : 115
Charlotte Hornets
Mar 23, 2024
Atlanta Hawks
132 : 91
Charlotte Hornets
