The red-hot Golden State Warriors, winners of 13 of their last 15 games, welcome a depleted Toronto Raptors squad to Chase Center in what could be a lopsided Thursday night matchup.
While the Warriors have been surging behind Jimmy Butler's stellar play - including his recent 24-point triple-double against Milwaukee - the Raptors enter on a two-game skid and will be without key starter RJ Barrett.
The Warriors (40-29) host the Raptors (24-45) with tipoff set for 10:00 PM at Chase Center, where Golden State has dominated Eastern Conference opponents this season.
Golden State Warriors vs. Toronto Raptors prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Golden State Warriors vs Toronto Raptors matchup, our predictive model gives the Warriors a 66.67% chance of defeating the Raptors.
Pre-game probabilities
Golden State Warriors
Moneyline
Win %
66.67%
33.33%
Toronto Raptors
Golden State Warriors: 66.67% win probability
- Strong offensive output (7817 points scored this season)
- Recent momentum (Won 4 of last 5 games - WLWWW)
- Better league position (6th in Western Conference vs 11th in Eastern)
Toronto Raptors: 33.33% win probability
- Poor win-loss record (24-45 overall record)
- Defensive struggles (7987 points allowed this season)
- Road game disadvantage (Playing away vs Warriors' 40-29 record)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts..
| Golden State Warriors | Toronto Raptors | |
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| Moneyline |
Golden State Warriors vs. Toronto Raptors preview
The red-hot Golden State Warriors are riding a remarkable wave, having won 13 of their last 15 games since acquiring Jimmy Butler, who's brought a new dimension to their already potent offense.
Butler's recent masterclass against the Bucks - dropping 24 points with 10 assists - shows just how seamlessly he's fit into the Warriors' system, even when Steph Curry takes a night off.
The Raptors, meanwhile, are still finding their footing after a brutal 40-point loss to Phoenix, where their offense looked completely out of sync, shooting a dismal 35% from the field.
While Toronto's Scottie Barnes continues to be a bright spot, putting up consistent numbers with 19.5 points per game this season, the absence of RJ Barrett and uncertainty around Jakob Poeltl's availability leaves some big shoes to fill.
The Warriors' home court at Chase Center has become a fortress against Eastern Conference opponents, where they've won 12 of their last 13 matchups.
Though the Raptors grabbed a narrow 104-101 victory in their first meeting this season back in January, the Warriors' recent defensive improvements - holding opponents to just 110.7 points per game - make this a totally different matchup.
With Curry expected to return after his rest day and Butler firing on all cylinders, the Chase Center crowd should be in for quite a show.
Keep an eye on Brandon Podziemski, who's been a revelation for the Warriors lately, contributing solid minutes and showing remarkable poise for a rookie in their championship-caliber rotation.
Golden State Warriors vs. Toronto Raptors form
Golden State Warriors vs. Toronto Raptors head to head
Golden State Warriors
50%
Toronto Raptors
50%
Jan 14, 2025
Toronto Raptors
104 : 101
Golden State Warriors
Mar 2, 2024
Toronto Raptors
105 : 120
Golden State Warriors
Jan 8, 2024
Golden State Warriors
118 : 133
Toronto Raptors
Jul 15, 2023
Toronto Raptors
108 : 101
Golden State Warriors
Jan 28, 2023
Golden State Warriors
129 : 117
Toronto Raptors
Dec 18, 2022
Toronto Raptors
110 : 126
Golden State Warriors
