The Minnesota Wild's playoff push faces a tricky test against the Buffalo Sabres this Saturday afternoon, with key offensive weapons Kirill Kaprizov and Joel Eriksson Ek sidelined by injuries.

While the Wild have found ways to grind out wins behind Filip Gustavsson's stellar goaltending (five shutouts this season), their league-worst penalty kill could open the door for Buffalo's young guns like Tage Thompson to capitalize.

The stage is set for what should be another tight defensive battle at the Xcel Energy Center, where the home team Minnesota Wild (39-25-5) look to sweep their season series against the away team Buffalo Sabres (27-34-6).

Minnesota Wild vs. Buffalo Sabres prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Minnesota Wild vs Buffalo Sabres matchup, our predictive model gives the Wild a 55% chance of defeating the Sabres.

Minnesota Wild: 55% win probability

  • Strong playoff position (7th in Western Conference with 83 points)
  • Recent momentum (3 wins in last 5 games - WWLLW)
  • Solid defensive record (195 goals against, 8th best in Western Conference)

Buffalo Sabres: 45% win probability

  • Poor road performance (16th in Eastern Conference)
  • Defensive struggles (237 goals against, third-worst in Eastern Conference)
  • Inconsistent form (LWWLW in last 5 games with just 60 points overall)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.

Minnesota Wild vs. Buffalo Sabres odds

Here are the latest odds for this NHL matchup as the Minnesota Wild host the Buffalo Sabres at home on Saturday, March 22.

Minnesota WildBuffalo Sabres
Moneyline-140 (via Caesars Sportsbook)+124 (via DraftKings Sportsbook)

Minnesota Wild vs. Buffalo Sabres preview

The Minnesota Wild host the Buffalo Sabres at Xcel Energy Center in what's shaping up to be a classic clash of contrasting styles - Buffalo's high-octane offense against Minnesota's lockdown defense.

The Wild's been hit hard by injuries lately, with scoring threats Kirill Kaprizov and Joel Eriksson Ek sidelined, putting extra pressure on Matt Boldy to keep the offense clicking.

Buffalo's young guns Tage Thompson and Dylan Cozens have shown flashes of brilliance this season, but they'll need to crack Filip Gustavsson - who's been nothing short of spectacular with five shutouts and a stingy 2.51 GAA.

The Sabres' defensive struggles have been their Achilles' heel, giving up over 3.5 goals per game, though Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen's shown he can steal a game when he's dialed in.

These teams' last meeting was a nail-biter, with Minnesota squeaking out a 1-0 win - don't be shocked if we're in for another tight defensive battle.

The Wild's penalty kill has been their weak spot (second-worst in the league), which could open the door for Buffalo's opportunistic offense to make some noise.

With Minnesota fighting for playoff position and Buffalo looking to play spoiler, this Saturday afternoon showdown's got all the makings of a chess match on ice.

Key stats

  • 1
    Minnesota Wild sits 7th in Western Conference with 83 points through 69 games, while Buffalo ranks 16th in Eastern with 60 points in 67 games
  • 2
    Wild shows stronger recent momentum with 3 wins in last 5 (WWLLW) compared to Sabres' mixed form (LWWLW)
  • 3
    Minnesota maintains a -4 goal differential (191 scored, 195 against) versus Buffalo's -26 differential (211 scored, 237 against)
  • 4
    Wild's 39 wins versus Sabres' 27 victories highlights significant performance gap between the teams this season

Minnesota Wild vs. Buffalo Sabres form

Minnesota Wild
Minnesota Wild
Latest matches
W
W
L
L
W
Victories
3/5 (60%)
Defeats
2/5 (40%)
Mar 20, 2025
Seattle Kraken0:4Minnesota Wild
Mar 18, 2025
Los Angeles Kings1:3Minnesota Wild
Mar 16, 2025
St. Louis Blues5:1Minnesota Wild
Mar 14, 2025
New York Rangers3:2Minnesota Wild
Mar 12, 2025
Colorado Avalanche1:2Minnesota Wild
Buffalo Sabres
Buffalo Sabres
Latest matches
L
W
W
L
W
Victories
3/5 (60%)
Defeats
2/5 (40%)
Mar 21, 2025
Utah Hockey Club5:2Buffalo Sabres
Mar 17, 2025
Boston Bruins2:3Buffalo Sabres
Mar 15, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights3:4Buffalo Sabres
Mar 12, 2025
Detroit Red Wings7:3Buffalo Sabres
Mar 10, 2025
Edmonton Oilers2:3Buffalo Sabres

Minnesota Wild vs. Buffalo Sabres head to head

Minnesota Wild

33%

Buffalo Sabres

67%

Nov 28, 2024

Buffalo Sabres

0 : 1

Minnesota Wild

Feb 17, 2024

Minnesota Wild

2 : 3

Buffalo Sabres

Nov 11, 2023

Buffalo Sabres

3 : 2

Minnesota Wild

Jan 29, 2023

Minnesota Wild

3 : 2

Buffalo Sabres

Jan 8, 2023

Buffalo Sabres

6 : 5

Minnesota Wild

Mar 5, 2022

Buffalo Sabres

5 : 4

Minnesota Wild