The Portland Trail Blazers welcome the San Antonio Spurs to Moda Center in a battle between two teams clinging to the mathematical possibility of postseason play despite long odds.
Both squads come in battling significant injury concerns – Portland potentially missing Simons, Avdija, and definitely without Ayton, while San Antonio continues to navigate life without their franchise cornerstone Wembanyama.
The matchup presents an interesting contrast between Chris Paul's veteran leadership for the visiting Spurs against the young firepower of Shaedon Sharpe's Blazers, who desperately need to snap their 0-3 season series drought against the Spurs to keep their faint playoff dreams alive.
Portland Trail Blazers vs. San Antonio Spurs prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs matchup, our predictive model gives the Spurs a 72.5% chance of defeating the Blazers.
Pre-game probabilities
San Antonio Spurs
Moneyline
Win %
72.5%
27.5%
Portland Trail Blazers
San Antonio Spurs: 72.5% win probability
- Better overall record (32-45 compared to Blazers' 34-44)
- More efficient offense (8779 points scored in 77 games, averaging 114.0 per game vs Blazers' 111.0)
- Recent performance improvement (won one of their last five games while Blazers have lost three of their last five)
Portland Trail Blazers: 27.5% win probability
- Defensive struggles (allowed 8911 points in 78 games, ranking them 11th in Western Conference)
- Lower scoring efficiency (8652 points in 78 games, ranking 12th in the Western Conference)
- Inconsistent home court advantage (their 34-44 record doesn't indicate strong home performance, especially against mid-tier opponents)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts..
| Portland Trail Blazers | San Antonio Spurs | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
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Portland Trail Blazers vs. San Antonio Spurs preview
The Spurs roll into Portland looking to complete a season sweep after winning all three previous matchups with the Blazers, though both teams are essentially playing for pride at this late stage of the season.
Victor Wembanyama's absence has thrust rookie Stephon Castle into the spotlight, with the youngster coming off an impressive 22-point performance that's giving Spurs fans something to cheer about during this rebuilding year.
Portland's injury woes continue to mount as DeAndre Ayton remains sidelined, while key scorers Anfernee Simons and Deni Avdija – fresh off a 37-point outburst against Chicago – are questionable, potentially leaving the Blazers severely short-handed.
Despite missing their franchise cornerstone, San Antonio's veteran presence in Chris Paul provides stability, while Devin Vassell (16.4 PPG) and Harrison Barnes have stepped up their scoring duties in recent games.
The Moda Center contest might lack playoff implications, but basketball purists should enjoy watching these young rosters battling it out – especially with Portland's exciting 21-year-old Shaedon Sharpe, who's quietly averaging 18.2 points this season.
Defense likely won't be the story here, with both squads ranking higher in offensive efficiency than defensive metrics, setting up what could be a surprisingly entertaining, high-scoring affair.
I've got a hunch that Castle might just put on another show for San Antonio, continuing his late-season emergence that's giving Spurs fans hope for next year's campaign.
While the Blazers have shown fight all season despite mounting injuries, the Spurs' slightly more cohesive lineup should give them an edge in what might end up being one of Sunday's most competitive matchups.
Portland Trail Blazers vs. San Antonio Spurs form
Portland Trail Blazers vs. San Antonio Spurs head to head
Portland Trail Blazers
20%
San Antonio Spurs
80%
Apr 6, 2025
Portland Trail Blazers
0 : 0
San Antonio Spurs
Dec 22, 2024
San Antonio Spurs
114 : 94
Portland Trail Blazers
Dec 14, 2024
Portland Trail Blazers
116 : 118
San Antonio Spurs
Nov 8, 2024
San Antonio Spurs
118 : 105
Portland Trail Blazers
Jul 14, 2024
Portland Trail Blazers
77 : 83
San Antonio Spurs
Jan 27, 2024
San Antonio Spurs
116 : 100
Portland Trail Blazers
