The New York Knicks stand just one win away from advancing to the Eastern Conference semifinals as they host the Detroit Pistons in a pivotal Game 5 matchup at Madison Square Garden on Tuesday night.
Despite the 3-1 series lead, the Knicks have been pushed to the limit by a scrappy Pistons squad that has squandered double-digit fourth quarter leads twice in this series, including Sunday's controversial 94-93 finish in Game 4.
Jalen Brunson's 32-point performance helped New York escape Detroit with a victory, while Cade Cunningham's triple-double (25 points, 10 rebounds, 10 assists) wasn't enough to prevent the Pistons from facing elimination.
New York Knicks vs. Detroit Pistons prediction: who will win?
For tonight's New York Knicks vs Detroit Pistons matchup, our predictive model gives the Knicks a 75% chance of defeating the Pistons.
Pre-game probabilities
New York Knicks
Moneyline
Win %
75%
25%
Detroit Pistons
New York Knicks: 75% win probability
- Superior winning record (51-31 compared to Detroit's 44-38)
- Stronger conference standing (3rd in East vs Detroit's 6th place finish)
- More effective scoring defense (9158 points allowed vs Detroit's 9315)
Detroit Pistons: 25% win probability
- Poor recent form (LLWLL compared to Knicks' WLLLW)
- Road disadvantage facing a team with 7 more wins on the season
- Defensive vulnerability (allowed 9315 points, ranking them lower defensively than NY)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts..
| New York Knicks | Detroit Pistons | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
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New York Knicks vs. Detroit Pistons preview
The Knicks stand on the precipice of advancing to the Eastern Conference semifinals, carrying a commanding 3-1 series lead against a Pistons squad that's shown remarkable resilience despite their postseason inexperience.
Detroit's fourth-quarter collapses have been their undoing—squandering double-digit leads in both Games 1 and 4—yet they've pushed New York to the brink in every contest of this tightly contested series.
Jalen Brunson has been the difference-maker for the Knicks, coming off a 32-point, 11-assist performance in Game 4's nail-biting 94-93 victory that featured controversial officiating in the closing moments.
Cade Cunningham's triple-double (25 points, 10 rebounds, 10 assists) showcased the young star's playoff potential, but the Pistons' 19 turnovers ultimately undermined their efforts despite dominating the glass 54-38.
With Isaiah Stewart (knee) questionable and Madison Square Garden primed for a closeout game, Tom Thibodeau's squad will look to Karl-Anthony Towns and OG Anunoby to complement Brunson's scoring punch.
The series returns to New York where the Knicks opened with a convincing win, though nothing has come easy against a Detroit team that's proven far more formidable than their sixth-seed status might suggest.
New York Knicks vs. Detroit Pistons form
New York Knicks vs. Detroit Pistons head to head
New York Knicks
80%
Detroit Pistons
20%
Apr 29, 2025
New York Knicks
0 : 0
Detroit Pistons
Apr 27, 2025
Detroit Pistons
93 : 94
New York Knicks
Apr 24, 2025
Detroit Pistons
116 : 118
New York Knicks
Apr 21, 2025
New York Knicks
94 : 100
Detroit Pistons
Apr 19, 2025
New York Knicks
123 : 112
Detroit Pistons
Apr 10, 2025
Detroit Pistons
115 : 106
New York Knicks
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