The New York Knicks face a defining moment in their season as they head to Gainbridge Fieldhouse for Game 3, desperately seeking to avoid a 3-0 deficit against the surging Indiana Pacers in the Eastern Conference Finals.
After dropping both home games in heartbreaking fashion, the Knicks will lean heavily on Jalen Brunson's scoring prowess while trying to contain Pascal Siakam, who exploded for 39 points in Game 2.
History favors the home team with Indiana having won nine straight playoff games against New York at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, though the series has been closer than the 2-0 scoreline suggests.
Indiana Pacers vs. New York Knicks prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Indiana Pacers vs New York Knicks matchup, our predictive model gives the Knicks a 61% chance of defeating the Pacers.
New York Knicks: 61% win probability
- Superior defensive efficiency (9158 points allowed vs Pacers' 9441)
- Consistent recent performance with position stability (3rd in Eastern Conference)
- Better road presence than Pacers' home advantage (51 wins vs Pacers' 50)
Indiana Pacers: 39% win probability
- Defensive vulnerability (9441 points allowed, significantly higher than Knicks)
- Inconsistent performance despite recent form (WLWWW showing volatility)
- Points differential concern (+183 for Pacers vs +336 for Knicks on the season)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.
Indiana Pacers vs. New York Knicks odds
Here are the latest odds for the NBA matchup between the New York Knicks and the Indiana Pacers, who will face off as the home team at their arena on Sunday, May 25.
| Indiana Pacers | New York Knicks | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -130 (via Caesars Sportsbook) | +115 (via bet365 US) |
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Indiana Pacers vs. New York Knicks preview
The Knicks find themselves in desperate territory heading into Game 3 at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, where they'll need to overcome not just a 2-0 series deficit but also Indiana's nine-game home playoff winning streak against New York.
Jalen Brunson has been magnificent despite the losses, pouring in 36 points in Game 2, but the Knicks need more production from Josh Hart (just six points in Game 2) and better defense against a Pacers offense shooting over 50% in the series.
Pascal Siakam silenced critics with a dominant 39-point performance on 15-of-23 shooting in Game 2, providing Indiana another scoring weapon alongside Tyrese Haliburton's playmaking brilliance.
While the series scoreline suggests dominance, both games have been nail-biters — the Knicks led by 14 late in Game 1 before collapsing, and were within one point in the final seconds of Game 2.
New York's season now hinges on their ability to disrupt Indiana's offensive rhythm and rediscover their underdog mentality that served them well in previous playoff rounds.
Key stats
- 1The Pacers (50-32) finished 4th in the Eastern Conference, one spot below their upcoming opponent Knicks
- 2New York (51-31) narrowly outperformed Indiana in the standings by just one win
- 3Indiana enters with strong momentum, going 4-1 in their last five games (WLWWW)
- 4The Knicks have struggled recently with a 2-3 record in their last five games (WLLLW)
Indiana Pacers vs. New York Knicks form
Indiana Pacers vs. New York Knicks head to head
Indiana Pacers
83%
New York Knicks
17%
May 24, 2025
New York Knicks
109 : 114
Indiana Pacers
May 22, 2025
New York Knicks
135 : 138
Indiana Pacers
Feb 12, 2025
Indiana Pacers
115 : 128
New York Knicks
Nov 10, 2024
Indiana Pacers
132 : 121
New York Knicks
Oct 25, 2024
New York Knicks
123 : 98
Indiana Pacers
May 19, 2024
New York Knicks
109 : 130
Indiana Pacers
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