FC Cincinnati look to bounce back from their shocking 4-2 defeat in Atlanta when they host struggling FC Dallas at TQL Stadium on Wednesday night.
Despite that recent setback, Cincy have been in impressive form with seven wins from their last ten MLS fixtures, while Dallas continue to struggle offensively with just one goal scored across their previous four league matches.
Cincinnati vs. Dallas prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Cincinnati vs Dallas matchup, our predictive model gives the Cincy a 69% chance of defeating the Dallas.
Cincinnati: 69% win probability
- Strong home position (2nd in Eastern Conference with 29 points)
- Excellent winning record (9 wins in 15 games, tied for most in conference)
- Recent momentum (LDWWL form with 3 wins in last 5 matches)
Dallas: 31% win probability
- Away form disadvantage (facing 2nd place team on the road)
- Scoring efficiency concerns (Cincinnati has allowed just 19 goals in 15 matches)
- Momentum gap (Cincinnati's 9-win record suggests superior form compared to Dallas)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top MLS experts to give you a clear edge. Rather than digging through countless opinions, you can rely on our predictions to reflect the broader market sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, team data, and betting trends—then our AI assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These scores are averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability, offering a data-driven snapshot of what the smartest minds in MLS are thinking.
Cincinnati vs. Dallas odds
Here are the latest odds as Cincinnati prepares to host Dallas in MLS action on Wednesday, May 28.
| Cincinnati | Dallas | Draw | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -150 (via Caesars Sportsbook) | +400 (via Caesars Sportsbook) | 300 ( via FanDuel Sportsbook) |
Best MLS sportsbook promos
Cincinnati vs. Dallas preview
Cincinnati look to rebound from their shocking 4-2 defeat in Atlanta when they host a struggling FC Dallas side that's managing just one point from their last four MLS fixtures.
The home side has been formidable at TQL Stadium this season, remaining unbeaten while winning seven of their last ten league matches to climb to second place in the Eastern Conference.
Dallas's offensive woes have reached critical levels, with Eric Quill's men finding the net just once in their last four MLS outings since their 4-3 victory over Inter Miami back in April.
Cincinnati's potent attack, led by Kelvin Denkey's ten goals this campaign, should find opportunities against a Dallas defense that's shipping goals at an alarming rate, including a 5-0 thrashing at San Diego earlier this month.
While Cincinnati will be looking to Evander, their top playmaker with four assists, to unlock the Dallas defense, the visitors will be hampered by the absence of midfielder Sebastian Lletget among their key missing players.
With Dallas struggling to score and Cincinnati maintaining a strong home record, all signs point to a bounce-back performance for the hosts, though their recent defensive vulnerability suggests this could remain a tightly contested affair.
Key stats
- 1Cincinnati sits 2nd in the Eastern Conference with 29 points, just one point behind league leaders Philadelphia Union
- 2Cincinnati has lost two of their last five matches (LDWWL) showing some inconsistency in recent form
- 3Cincinnati has a solid goal differential of +2 this season (21 scored, 19 conceded)
- 4Cincinnati's 9 wins in 15 matches (9-2-4) gives them the joint-best win record in the conference alongside Philadelphia
Cincinnati vs. Dallas form
Cincinnati vs. Dallas head to head
Cincinnati
17%
Dallas
17%
Jun 30, 2024
Dallas
0 : 1
Cincinnati
Sep 1, 2019
Dallas
3 : 1
Cincinnati
Betting on the MLS?
Sporting Post is your go-to source for MLS betting. We offer expert MLS predictions, top picks, and up-to-date MLS odds. Our in-depth game analysis and real-time insights help you place smarter bets with confidence. We also review and test the best online sportsbooks, betting apps, and the best betting sites. Check out our top-rated MLS betting sites and soccer betting apps to find the best options for secure, reliable wagering.
