The Seagulls welcome a Leicester City side in free fall to the Amex Stadium this weekend, with the visitors having lost their last eight Premier League matches without finding the net once.
While Brighton themselves are winless in four competitive fixtures, their strong home form—winning four of their last seven on home soil—gives them a significant advantage against a Foxes team staring relegation in the face.
All eyes will be on whether Jamie Vardy can rediscover his scoring touch as Brighton host Leicester in what could prove decisive for both clubs' season trajectories.
Brighton vs. Leicester prediction: who will win?
For today's Brighton vs Leicester matchup, our predictive model gives the Seagulls a 85% chance of defeating the Foxes.
Pre-game probabilities
Brighton
Moneyline
Win %
85%
15%
Leicester
Brighton: 85% win probability
- Strong home record with recent form showing improvement (LLDWW in last five matches)
- Impressive attacking output with 49 goals scored this season (5th best in bottom half of table)
- Superior league position (9th place with 47 points compared to Leicester's 19th position)
Leicester: 15% win probability
- Dreadful recent form with five consecutive losses (LLLLL)
- Defensive vulnerability having conceded 70 goals this season (second-worst in the league)
- Poor away performances contributing to just 4 wins from 31 matches played
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts..
| Brighton | Leicester | Draw | |
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Brighton vs. Leicester preview
Brighton welcome relegation-threatened Leicester to the Amex this weekend in what looks like a total mismatch on paper given the visitors' catastrophic run of form.
The Seagulls have hit a rough patch themselves, winless in four and coming off a disappointing 2-1 defeat to Crystal Palace, but they'll fancy their chances against a Leicester side that's lost NINE consecutive Premier League matches.
Fabian Hürzeler's men have been reliable at home, winning four of their last seven at the Amex, and they'll be looking to Yankuba Minteh and João Pedro to provide the attacking spark against the league's leakiest defense.
Leicester's offensive woes are downright alarming - they haven't scored a single goal in their last eight Premier League outings and sit a massive 15 points from safety with just seven games remaining.
The December reverse fixture ended in a dramatic 2-2 draw with Jamie Vardy and Bobby De Cordova-Reid scoring late goals to salvage a point for the Foxes, though that feels like ancient history given their current predicament.
Brighton have injury concerns with Ferdi Kadıoğlu, James Milner, and Tariq Lamptey among seven players sidelined, while Leicester will be without Issahaku Fatawu and Harry Souttar.
Recent head-to-head meetings between these clubs have been goal-fests, with their last six encounters producing a whopping 24 goals (4 per match on average).
I reckon Brighton will finally get their clean sheet here against a toothless Leicester attack - a comfortable 2-0 win for the home side feels on the cards.
Brighton vs. Leicester form
Brighton vs. Leicester head to head
Brighton
100%
Leicester
0%
Dec 8, 2024
Leicester
2 : 2
Brighton
Jan 21, 2023
Leicester
2 : 2
Brighton
Sep 4, 2022
Brighton
5 : 2
Leicester
Jan 23, 2022
Leicester
1 : 1
Brighton
Oct 27, 2021
Leicester
2 : 2
Brighton
Sep 19, 2021
Brighton
2 : 1
Leicester
