Bournemouth host Leicester City looking to secure a top-half finish despite their recent struggles, having won just one of their last seven home league games.
The Cherries will face a Leicester side playing with newfound freedom after relegation, with the Foxes showing improved form by taking seven points from their last three matches.
With Leicester conceding multiple goals in 15 of their 18 away fixtures this season, expect an entertaining, high-scoring affair at the Vitality Stadium.
Bournemouth vs. Leicester prediction: who will win?
For today's Bournemouth vs Leicester matchup, our predictive model gives the Cherries a 75% chance of defeating the Foxes.
Pre-game probabilities
Bournemouth
Moneyline
Win %
75%
25%
Leicester
Bournemouth: 75% win probability
- Strong home form (LLWDD recent form shows resilience at Vitality Stadium)
- Solid defensive record (46 goals conceded, 5th best in bottom half of table)
- Superior league position (11th place with 53 points compared to Leicester's 18th)
Leicester: 25% win probability
- Poor defensive record (78 goals conceded, second-worst in the league)
- Relegation form (Already confirmed in 18th position with only 25 points)
- Struggling attack (Just 33 goals scored all season, third-lowest in the league)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts..
| Bournemouth | Leicester | Draw | |
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Bournemouth vs. Leicester preview
Bournemouth welcome Leicester City to the Vitality Stadium with the Cherries looking to secure a top-half finish despite their recent dip in form, having won just two of their last twelve matches.
The hosts will be bidding farewell to Dean Huijsen before his move to Real Madrid, while also missing Lewis Cook through suspension and Ryan Christie due to injury, leaving Andoni Iraola's midfield options significantly depleted.
Leicester arrive with newfound freedom having taken seven points from their last three fixtures, including an emotional 2-0 victory over Ipswich that saw Jamie Vardy score his 200th goal for the club in his final home appearance.
The Foxes' away form has been their Achilles' heel all season, conceding at least twice in 15 of their 18 road games, yet they'll fancy their chances against a Bournemouth side that's managed just one win in their last seven home league matches.
This final-day encounter promises goals – with fourteen of Leicester's 18 away games featuring three or more – as Bournemouth's attacking talents Semenyo, Kluivert and Evanilson look to exploit a vulnerable visiting defense.
The reverse fixture in October ended 1-0 to Leicester, but with both teams playing without pressure, expect an entertaining, open affair to close out the campaign.
Bournemouth vs. Leicester form
Bournemouth vs. Leicester head to head
Bournemouth
60%
Leicester
40%
Oct 5, 2024
Leicester
1 : 0
Bournemouth
Feb 27, 2024
Bournemouth
0 : 0
Leicester
Apr 8, 2023
Leicester
0 : 1
Bournemouth
Oct 8, 2022
Bournemouth
2 : 1
Leicester
Jul 12, 2020
Bournemouth
4 : 1
Leicester
Aug 31, 2019
Leicester
3 : 1
Bournemouth
