Manchester City head to Craven Cottage looking to secure a crucial victory that would guarantee them third place in the Premier League, while Fulham aim to build on their recent 3-2 win over Brentford and clinch a top-half finish.
The Citizens have dominated this fixture historically, winning their last 17 meetings with the Cottagers, though their away form has been inconsistent with just four wins in their last 14 road games.
Marco Silva's Fulham will take confidence from their attacking display last weekend, but they'll need to overcome significant defensive challenges against a City side that's nearly back to full strength in forward areas.
Fulham vs. Manchester City prediction: who will win?
For today's Fulham vs Manchester City matchup, our predictive model gives City a 77.5% chance of defeating the Cottagers.
Pre-game probabilities
Manchester City
Moneyline
Win %
77.5%
22.5%
Fulham
Manchester City: 77.5% win probability
- Excellent recent form (WDWWW in last five matches shows consistent performance)
- Strong attacking capability (70 goals scored this season, third-highest in the league)
- Top-tier position (3rd in the table with 68 points demonstrates season-long quality)
Fulham: 22.5% win probability
- Inconsistent recent form (WLLWL suggests vulnerability against stronger opposition)
- Defensive frailties (52 goals conceded, significantly more than the top teams)
- Mid-table positioning (10th place with 54 points indicates a quality gap compared to the visitors)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts..
| Fulham | Manchester City | Draw | |
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Fulham vs. Manchester City preview
Manchester City face a must-win trip to Craven Cottage on Sunday as they look to secure third place and Champions League qualification on the final day of a surprisingly tense Premier League season.
Pep Guardiola's men responded well to their FA Cup final defeat with a 3-2 midweek win over Bournemouth, but their away form has been questionable with just four victories in their last 14 road games.
History heavily favors the visitors who have won an astonishing 17 consecutive matches against Fulham – a dominant streak the Cottagers desperately want to end.
Marco Silva's side showed their attacking threat in last weekend's thrilling 3-2 victory at Brentford, though they'll be without several key players including Rodrigo Muniz and Timothy Castagne through injury.
The Cottagers have proven capable of troubling big sides at home this season, having beaten Liverpool and Newcastle while holding Arsenal to a draw at Craven Cottage.
With both teams having scored in 14 of Fulham's 18 home league games this campaign, we could be in for an entertaining finale as City aim to extend their remarkable dominance in this fixture.
Fulham vs. Manchester City form
Fulham vs. Manchester City head to head
Fulham
0%
Manchester City
100%
Oct 5, 2024
Manchester City
3 : 2
Fulham
May 11, 2024
Fulham
0 : 4
Manchester City
Sep 2, 2023
Manchester City
5 : 1
Fulham
Apr 30, 2023
Fulham
1 : 2
Manchester City
Nov 5, 2022
Manchester City
2 : 1
Fulham
Feb 5, 2022
Manchester City
4 : 1
Fulham
