Chelsea travel to The City Ground for a high-stakes Premier League finale as both sides chase Champions League qualification, with Nottingham Forest needing a victory to stand any chance of securing a top-five finish.

The in-form Blues have won six of their last seven matches and look primed to capitalise against a Forest side that has lost three of their last four home games.

Despite their recent struggles at home, the Tricky Trees will hope to build on their recent 2-1 victory against West Ham and upset Maresca's confident Chelsea squad.

Nottingham vs. Chelsea prediction: who will win?

For today's Nottingham vs Chelsea matchup, our predictive model gives the Blues a 77.5% chance of defeating the Reds.

Chelsea: 77.5% win probability

  • Superior goal output (63 goals scored this season, significantly higher than Nottingham's 58)
  • Better recent form (WLWWW compared to Nottingham's WDDLW)
  • Stronger defensive record (43 goals conceded versus Nottingham's 45)

Nottingham: 22.5% win probability

  • Inconsistent recent results (only 1 win in last 5 matches, with WDDLW form)
  • Lower goal conversion rate (58 goals from 37 matches compared to Chelsea's 63)
  • Vulnerable home form (7th in table but struggling to maintain consistency at home)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts.

Nottingham vs. Chelsea odds

Here are the latest odds for the Premier League clash between home side Nottingham and Chelsea, set to take place on Sunday, May 25.

NottinghamChelseaDraw
Match Result2/1 (via Betway UK)23/20 (via Betway UK)11/4 ( via Betway UK)

Nottingham vs. Chelsea preview

Nuno Espírito Santo's Nottingham Forest face a mountainous challenge as they welcome an in-form Chelsea side to The City Ground in a high-stakes season finale that could determine both clubs' European ambitions.

The Tricky Trees have stumbled at the worst possible time, winless in their last three home matches and desperately needing victory to keep any Champions League hopes alive.

Chelsea arrive with momentum firmly behind them, having won six of their last seven matches including a clinical 1-0 victory over Manchester United last time out, with Marc Cucurella proving the unlikely hero.

The Blues' defensive solidity has been remarkable, conceding just four goals in their last six outings while Forest's backline continues to look vulnerable, having been breached in six consecutive matches before their impressive win at West Ham.

Forest will need to overcome their recent home struggles without striker Taiwo Awoniyi, while Chelsea's injury concerns include Christopher Nkunku and both Fofanas – potentially opening the door for Pedro Neto to continue his impressive recent form.

When these sides met earlier this season, they played out an entertaining 1-1 draw at Stamford Bridge, but with fifth place and potential Champions League qualification at stake, Maresca's men will be desperate to go one better at a ground where they've remained unbeaten in their last three league visits.

Nottingham vs. Chelsea betting tips

Chelsea to Win (23/20)

Chelsea @ Nottingham

ChelseaNottingham

Chelsea 1-0 Correct Score (8/1)

Chelsea @ Nottingham

ChelseaNottingham

Nicolas Dominguez To Be Shown A Card (7/4)

Chelsea @ Nottingham

ChelseaNottingham

Key stats

  • 1
    Nottingham and Chelsea are neck-and-neck in the table with 66 points for Chelsea (5th place) and 65 points for Nottingham (7th place)
  • 2
    Both teams have identical win records with 19 victories each from 37 matches played
  • 3
    Chelsea have scored more goals (63) than Nottingham (58) this season, suggesting more attacking firepower
  • 4
    Chelsea bring stronger recent form (WLWWW) into this matchup compared to Nottingham's more mixed results (WDDLW)

Nottingham vs. Chelsea form

Nottingham
Nottingham
Latest matches
W
D
D
L
L
Victories
1/5 (20%)
Draws
2/5 (40%)
Defeats
2/5 (40%)
May 18, 2025
West Ham United1:2Nottingham
May 11, 2025
Leicester City2:2Nottingham
May 5, 2025
Crystal Palace1:1Nottingham
May 1, 2025
Brentford2:0Nottingham
Apr 27, 2025
Manchester City2:0Nottingham
Chelsea
Chelsea
Latest matches
W
L
W
W
W
Victories
4/5 (80%)
Draws
0/5 (0%)
Defeats
1/5 (20%)
May 16, 2025
Manchester United0:1Chelsea
May 11, 2025
Newcastle United2:0Chelsea
May 8, 2025
Djurgarden0:1Chelsea
May 4, 2025
Liverpool1:3Chelsea
May 1, 2025
Djurgarden1:4Chelsea

Nottingham vs. Chelsea head to head

Nottingham

33%

Chelsea

67%

Oct 6, 2024

Chelsea

1 : 1

Nottingham

May 11, 2024

Nottingham

2 : 3

Chelsea

Sep 2, 2023

Chelsea

0 : 1

Nottingham

May 13, 2023

Chelsea

2 : 2

Nottingham

Jan 1, 2023

Nottingham

1 : 1

Chelsea

Jan 5, 2020

Chelsea

2 : 0

Nottingham