Southampton vs Arsenal Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips

Arsenal aim to continue their impressive 13-match unbeaten away record as they visit relegation-bound Southampton at St. Mary's Stadium on Sunday afternoon.

The Gunners enter this clash with momentum after a hard-fought 1-0 victory over Newcastle, while the Saints remain rooted to the bottom of the table with just 12 points following their sixth defeat in seven matches.

With Arsenal winning the reverse fixture 3-1 earlier this season and Southampton conceding in five of their last six games, Mikel Arteta's men look primed to capitalize on the hosts' defensive frailties despite missing key defenders Gabriel and Tomiyasu.

Southampton vs. Arsenal prediction: who will win?

For today's Southampton vs Arsenal matchup, our predictive model gives the Gunners a 82.5% chance of defeating the Saints.

Arsenal: 82.5% win probability

Exceptional defensive record (33 goals conceded, 2nd best in the league)
Strong away form (consistently in the top positions with 71 points, 2nd in the table)
Balanced attack and defense (67 goals scored, 33 conceded, for a +34 goal difference)

Southampton: 17.5% win probability

Dreadful defensive record (84 goals conceded, worst in the league)
Poor recent form (LDLLD in last five matches)
Minimal offensive threat (25 goals scored, lowest in the league)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts.

Southampton vs. Arsenal odds

Here are the latest odds for the Premier League clash as Southampton host Arsenal on Sunday, May 25.

	Southampton	Arsenal	Draw
Match Result	10/1 (via Betway UK)	11/50 (via Betway UK)	11/2 ( via Betway UK)

Southampton vs. Arsenal preview

Arsenal will look to extend their impressive 13-match unbeaten away run in the Premier League when they visit already-relegated Southampton at St Mary's on Sunday.

The Saints' home form has been dismal, failing to secure a victory in their last 13 league fixtures at St Mary's, while their defensive frailties have seen them concede in five of their last six matches.

Mikel Arteta's Gunners come into this fixture following a confidence-boosting 1-0 victory over Newcastle, though they'll be without key defender Gabriel Magalhães and forward Gabriel Jesus through injury.

The reverse fixture in October saw Arsenal triumph 3-1 with goals from Kai Havertz, Gabriel Martinelli and Bukayo Saka – the latter two likely to feature prominently again this weekend.

Southampton, under Simon Rusk, will need to find something special to overcome their recent poor record against the Gunners, having failed to beat Arsenal in their last three league encounters.

While the hosts might find the net through the likes of Ross Stewart or Cameron Archer, who scored in their previous meeting, Arsenal's superior quality should ultimately prove decisive.

Southampton vs. Arsenal betting tips

Under 2.5 Goals (13/8)

Arsenal @ Southampton

Southampton's attacking struggles have been evident all season, as they currently hold the worst offensive record in the Premier League.

While their defense has shown improvement in recent fixtures, the Saints have participated in low-scoring affairs with just nine goals across their previous five matches.

Arsenal's away form aligns perfectly with this under trend, with seven of their last eight Premier League road games featuring fewer than three goals.

The Gunners have developed a more pragmatic approach away from the Emirates, focusing on defensive solidity rather than overwhelming opponents.

With Southampton already relegated and Arsenal settling for second place, we expect a controlled, low-scoring contest to close out the season.

Arsenal to Win 1-0 (17/2)

Arsenal @ Southampton

Southampton enter this final fixture winless in their last 13 league games, showing clear signs of a team that has accepted their relegation fate.

The Saints' offensive woes have intensified recently, failing to find the net in three consecutive matches.

Arsenal have developed a pattern in away fixtures, scoring exactly one goal in four of their last eight Premier League games on the road.

The Gunners will want to end their season on a positive note despite missing out on the title, and should have enough quality to secure a narrow victory.

This scoreline represents the perfect balance between Southampton's improved defensive resilience and their complete lack of attacking threat.

Arsenal Clean Sheet (1/1)

Arsenal @ Southampton

Southampton have failed to score in their last three league matches, highlighting their severe attacking limitations.

Arsenal's defense has been significantly improved this season under Mikel Arteta, ranking among the best in the Premier League.

The Gunners have good motivation to finish strong, while Southampton may lack the competitive edge having already been relegated.

This bet aligns with the predicted scorelines and under goals market, offering another angle to approach this final day fixture.

With Southampton scoring the fewest goals in the league this season, Arsenal should be able to keep them at bay.

Key stats

1
Arsenal sit 2nd in the table with 71 points through 37 matches, sporting a 19-14-4 record (W-D-L)
2
Southampton are firmly rooted at the bottom of the table in 20th place with just 12 points from 37 matches (2-6-29)
3
The goal differential gap is massive: Arsenal at +34 (67 scored, 33 conceded) versus Southampton at -59 (25 scored, 84 conceded)
4
Recent form heavily favors Arsenal (WDLDW) over Southampton's struggling run (LDLLD), with Southampton managing just one win in their last five matches