Manchester United host Arsenal on Sunday with both sides desperate to prove their summer overhauls can finally deliver the consistency that eluded them last season.
The Gunners arrive at Old Trafford with impressive away form and new striker Viktor Gyokeres ready to make his Premier League debut, while United look to Benjamin Sesko and a revamped squad to end their recent struggles at home.
With Arsenal unbeaten in their last 14 league matches and United managing just one win in their last five home fixtures, this clash could set the tone for both clubs' title ambitions this campaign.
Manchester Utd vs. Arsenal prediction: who will win?
For today's Manchester Utd vs Arsenal matchup, our predictive model gives Arsenal a 75% chance of defeating United.
Manchester Utd: 25% win probability
- Lack of early season momentum with no opening weekend match played
- Potential squad rotation uncertainty without competitive minutes
- Missing competitive match sharpness compared to teams that have already played
Arsenal: 75% win probability
- Fresh legs advantage with no opening weekend fixture (0 games played vs United's 0)
- Superior historical consistency in top-four finishes
- Clean slate mentality without early season pressure from dropped points
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts.
Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts.
Manchester Utd | Arsenal | Draw | |
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Manchester Utd vs. Arsenal preview
Both sides arrive at Old Trafford carrying the weight of underwhelming seasons, with United still searching for consistency under Ruben Amorim while Arsenal look to convert their impressive away form into genuine title credentials.
The Red Devils have managed just one win in their last five home Premier League matches, a worrying trend that contrasts sharply with Arsenal's excellent road record of seven wins and seven draws in their final 14 away fixtures last term.
Viktor Gyokeres makes his Premier League bow for the Gunners after forcing his move from Sporting, while Benjamin Sesko's fragmented pre-season may limit his impact on his United debut.
Arsenal's defensive frailties remain a concern, having conceded in five of their last six matches, though United's own clean sheet struggles suggest goals could be at a premium despite both sides' attacking reinforcements.
With United unable to beat Arsenal in their last six meetings and both teams showing flashes of promise mixed with familiar inconsistencies, this opening weekend clash feels perfectly poised for another frustrating stalemate.
The absence of Andre Onana and Lisandro Martinez for United, coupled with Gabriel Jesus missing for Arsenal, adds another layer of uncertainty to what should be a fascinating tactical battle between two managers under pressure to deliver.
Manchester Utd vs. Arsenal form

