Newcastle United welcome a struggling Nottingham Forest side to St. James' Park on Sunday, with Ange Postecoglou's position already under intense scrutiny just six matches into his tenure at the City Ground.
The Magpies are buoyed by a commanding 4-0 Champions League victory over Union Saint-Gilloise in midweek, whilst Forest have leaked goals in all six games under their new Australian boss, conceding multiple goals in four of those outings.
With Forest winless since Postecoglou's arrival and facing reports of potential dismissal, Newcastle's dominant recent record against the visitors—winning five of six Premier League meetings since Forest's return to the top flight—makes this a must-win fixture for the away side.
Newcastle vs. Nottingham prediction: who will win?
For this afternoon's Newcastle vs Nottingham matchup, our predictive model gives the Magpies a 75% chance of defeating Forest.
Newcastle: 75% win probability
- Superior defensive record (4 goals conceded in 6 matches vs Nottingham's 10 in 6)
- Better attacking output per game (0.67 goals per match vs Forest's 0.83)
- Home advantage with stronger recent form showing resilience
Nottingham: 25% win probability
- Struggling in attack with just 5 goals scored in 6 matches
- Poor defensive record conceding 10 goals in 6 games
- Relegation form with only 5 points from 6 matches, sitting 17th
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts.
Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts.
Newcastle vs. Nottingham Odds
Newcastle vs. Nottingham preview
Newcastle head into this clash riding high after their impressive 4-0 Champions League victory over Union Saint-Gilloise in midweek, with new signing Nick Woltemade continuing his excellent start by netting his third goal in four appearances.
The Magpies will fancy their chances against a Nottingham Forest side in freefall under new manager Ange Postecoglou, who remains winless through six games and is already facing serious pressure from frustrated supporters.
Forest's defensive frailties have been glaring, shipping goals in every match under the Australian boss and conceding multiple times in four of those six outings.
Newcastle's recent dominance in this fixture continues to tell a story, having won five of six Premier League meetings since Forest's return to the top flight, including last season's thrilling encounters that finished 4-3 and 3-1 in the Magpies' favour.
Eddie Howe's men will be eager to capitalise on their European momentum against opponents who look increasingly vulnerable at the back, particularly from set pieces where Woltemade's aerial prowess could prove decisive.
With Forest's away form equally concerning and their manager's future already under scrutiny, this represents a golden opportunity for Newcastle to build on their recent upturn in fortunes.