The Vegas Golden Knights roll into Buffalo's KeyBank Center riding high with four wins in their last five games, though their road form has shown some cracks with recent stumbles against weaker opponents.
While the Sabres have struggled this season, their home ice has proven treacherous for visitors lately, with Buffalo putting up 18 goals across their last five games at KeyBank Center including an impressive win over Edmonton.
The stage is set for an intriguing matchup between a Golden Knights squad fighting to maintain their division lead and a Sabres team that's proven far more dangerous at home than their overall record suggests.
Buffalo Sabres vs. Vegas Golden Knights prediction: who will win?
For today's Buffalo Sabres vs Vegas Golden Knights matchup, our predictive model gives the Knights a 55% chance of defeating the Sabres.
Vegas Golden Knights: 55% win probability
- Strong offensive output (219 goals scored, 3rd best in Western Conference)
- Consistent winning record (39 wins in 65 games played)
- Top-3 position in Western Conference (85 points in standings)
Buffalo Sabres: 45% win probability
- Poor defensive record (227 goals against, 4th worst in Eastern Conference)
- Struggling recent form (LWLLL in last 5 games)
- Bottom position in standings (56 points, ranked 16th in Eastern Conference)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.
Buffalo Sabres vs. Vegas Golden Knights odds
Here are the latest odds for this NHL matchup as the Buffalo Sabres host the Vegas Golden Knights at home on Saturday, March 15.
| Buffalo Sabres | Vegas Golden Knights | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +160 (via DraftKings Sportsbook) | -185 (via bet365 US) |
Buffalo Sabres vs. Vegas Golden Knights preview
The Vegas Golden Knights roll into Buffalo's KeyBank Center looking to bounce back from their recent road stumble against Pittsburgh, while the struggling Sabres hope to recapture some of their home ice magic.
Vegas has been lighting up the scoreboard lately, putting up 20 goals in their last five games, with Jack Eichel leading the charge - he's been on fire with nine points this month against his former team.
The Sabres' bright spot has been Tage Thompson, who's quietly strung together five points in his last four games, though Buffalo's defensive woes continue to haunt them.
While Vegas sits pretty atop their division, Buffalo's shown they can still pack a punch at home, having knocked off the Oilers in their last home stand and going 3-2 in their last five at KeyBank.
Keep an eye on Mark Stone, who's been clicking with six points in his last five games, while Buffalo's recent acquisition Josh Norris looks to make his mark against the defending champs.
The Knights' goalie tandem of Hill and Samsonov has been rock-solid, but they'll need to stay sharp against a Sabres team that's managed to put up 18 goals in their last five home games.
This cross-conference matchup pits Vegas's fifth-ranked offense against Buffalo's struggling defense, which has given up four or more goals in eight of their last ten games.
With the Knights not quite as dominant on the road lately and Buffalo showing some fight at home, this afternoon clash might just serve up more fireworks than the standings would suggest.
Key stats
- 1Vegas sits 3rd in Western Conference with 85 points while Buffalo ranks last in Eastern at 56 points - a 29-point gap between teams
- 2Golden Knights maintain a +42 goal difference (219 GF, 177 GA) versus Sabres' -25 differential (202 GF, 227 GA)
- 3Vegas shows stronger recent form (WLLWW) compared to Buffalo's downward trend (LWLLL)
- 4Sabres have played fewer games (64) than most teams, while Knights (65) remain in tight playoff race with games in hand
Buffalo Sabres vs. Vegas Golden Knights form
Buffalo Sabres vs. Vegas Golden Knights head to head
Buffalo Sabres
67%
Vegas Golden Knights
33%
Jan 5, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights
3 : 1
Buffalo Sabres
Mar 3, 2024
Buffalo Sabres
7 : 2
Vegas Golden Knights
Dec 16, 2023
Vegas Golden Knights
2 : 5
Buffalo Sabres
Dec 20, 2022
Vegas Golden Knights
2 : 3
Buffalo Sabres
Nov 11, 2022
Buffalo Sabres
4 : 7
Vegas Golden Knights
Mar 11, 2022
Buffalo Sabres
3 : 1
Vegas Golden Knights
