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2024 US Presidential Election Odds: An Early Analysis of Contenders

Ben Mendelowitz
Author: 
Ben Mendelowitz
Claudia Hartley
Editor: 
Claudia Hartley
4 mins
January 25th, 2024
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2024 US Presidential Election Odds: An Early Analysis of Contenders

As the 2024 US Presidential Election approaches, the nation's focus increasingly turns towards the potential candidates vying for the White House. With the general election on the horizon, the odds are a hot topic among voters, analysts, and pundits alike.

2024 US Presidential Election Odds

Candidate

American Odds

Implied Probability

Donald Trump

-118

54.1%

Joe Biden

+170

37.0%

Michelle Obama

+1300

7.1%

Gavin Newsom

+2100

4.5%

Nikki Haley

+2200

4.3%

Robert Kennedy Jr.

+2900

3.3%

Kamala Harris

+5100

1.9%

Elizabeth Warren

+11000

0.8%

Key Contenders and Nomination Outlook

As the 2024 United States Presidential election gains momentum, the focus sharpens on potential nominees.

Democratic Candidates

  • Joe Biden: The incumbent President stands as a likely Democratic nominee, with his experience as a sitting president potentially swaying party decisions. However, his future candidacy relies heavily on public and party perception of his first term's success.

  • Dean Phillips: Minnesota's Democratic Representative Dean Phillips, currently serving his third term, has expressed his intention to contest President Biden. Phillips advocates for a shift in leadership to a younger generation. Coming from a background as an heir to a distillery business and a former co-owner of a gelato company, Phillips stepped into politics motivated by opposition to Trump.

  • Cenk Uygur: Cenk Uygur, aged 53 and known for his role as the vocal host of the Young Turks, a progressive TV show, has initiated what is considered a highly improbable presidential campaign as of October. Despite his lack of experience in holding elected positions, barring his 2020 Congressional bid in California, Uygur's eligibility for presidency is under scrutiny due to his birth in Istanbul, Turkey. According to most legal experts, this conflicts with the US constitution's requirement for the president to be a "natural born citizen" as stated in Article II, Section I, Clause 5. However, Uygur disputes this interpretation and is prepared to challenge it legally. He also strongly believes that the Democratic Party must move away from Biden to avoid losing the presidency to Trump.

Republican Candidates

  • Donald Trump: The former president remains a pivotal figure in the Republican Party, with a loyal base that might propel him to seek nomination for another presidential term. The odds are heavily leaning towards this outcome.

  • Nikki Haley: Former UN Ambassador Haley is seen as a potential nominee who could appeal to both traditional Republican voters and those seeking a fresh party image.

  • Ryan Binkley: Binkley, a Texas-based entrepreneur and pastor at Create Church, enters the political arena as an unlikely contender. Identifying as a staunch fiscal conservative with far-right views, he has voiced criticism towards both Democratic and Republican parties for their failure to balance the federal budget. His campaign emphasizes three key issues: reducing healthcare expenses, reforming immigration policies, and promoting a nationwide volunteer initiative.

About The Data

At SportingPost.com, we keep a close eye on US politics odds trends in crucial markets of interest by monitoring various bookmakers. The frequency of updates may vary, but you can always find the latest information clearly indicated on our tables and charts. We directly source odds from bookies and convert them into implied probabilities, making it convenient for you to stay informed. We aim to highlight some of the best sites for punters to place any kind of bet on - check out some sportsbooks where you can place a free bet on as well.

Frequently Asked Questions

The 2024 US presidential election is drawing considerable attention, with odds and polls providing an evolving snapshot of the race. Here's a look at some of the most common questions regarding the current betting landscape for this upcoming political event.

Who is leading the current predictions for the 2024 US presidential election?
What do the latest polls suggest about the frontrunners for the 2024 US Presidential Election?
How do the odds for the next US presidential election in 2024 compare with those for the 2028 race?

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Author

Ben Mendelowitz
Ben is a keen sports fan - paying particularly close attention to Soccer, Basketball and Cricket. Born in London, he is a diehard supporter of Chelsea.
Claudia Hartley
Claudia is not just a writer but a dedicated researcher. Cutting through the noise of the gambling industry to get to the facts isn’t always easy, but she prides herself on being up to date with the latest news. Her years of experience in the iGaming industry have led to a fascination with the numbers behind gaming strategies, the analysis behind the betting tips, and of course, the latest game releases. A bargain hunter by nature, Claudia loves nothing more than finding and sharing the promotions and bonuses that seem almost too good to be true. As part of the team at SportingPost, her mission is to help people find their own ultimate gambling experience (and perhaps discover her own next big win on the horses).