Leicester City's Premier League survival hopes face another stern test as they welcome Brentford to the King Power Stadium, with the hosts desperate to end a dismal run of ten defeats in their last eleven league matches.
The Foxes' home form has been particularly concerning, having failed to secure a victory in their last six league matches at the King Power Stadium, while Brentford arrive full of confidence after three consecutive away victories and a commanding 4-1 win in the reverse fixture.
With both sides dealing with significant injury concerns - Leicester missing Ricardo Pereira and Abdul Fatawu, while Brentford cope without several key players including Rico Henry and Igor Thiago - this Premier League encounter promises to be a fascinating tactical battle between two teams with contrasting recent fortunes.
The match could prove pivotal for Leicester's survival hopes, as Ruud van Nistelrooy's side currently sit just two points from safety, while Thomas Frank's Brentford look to continue their impressive away form and push closer to the European spots.
All eyes will be on Brentford's in-form forward Kevin Schade, who netted a hat-trick in the reverse fixture and has continued his goalscoring form with two goals in his last three matches.
Leicester vs. Brentford prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Leicester vs Brentford matchup, our predictive model gives the Bees a 76.67% chance of defeating the Foxes.
Pre-game probabilities
Brentford
Moneyline
Win %
76.67%
23.33%
Leicester
Brentford: 76.67% win probability
- Superior goal-scoring ability (43 goals scored vs Leicester's 25)
- Better league position (11th place vs Leicester's 19th)
- Stronger recent form (WLWLD vs Leicester's LLWLL)
Leicester: 23.33% win probability
- Poor defensive record (55 goals conceded, third-worst in the league)
- Struggling attack (25 goals scored, only 6 teams have scored fewer)
- Poor overall form (16 losses in 25 matches, 4 wins only)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts..
| Leicester | Brentford | Draw | |
|---|---|---|---|
| match-winner |
Leicester vs. Brentford preview
Leicester City and Brentford are set for a crucial Premier League clash at the King Power Stadium, with the hosts desperately seeking to end their dismal run of form that has seen them lose 10 of their last 11 league matches.
The Foxes, under Ruud van Nistelrooy's management, find themselves in a precarious position just two points from safety, whilst struggling to find their attacking rhythm with merely nine goals in their last 11 league outings.
Brentford, meanwhile, arrive in excellent away form, having gone unbeaten in their last four road trips and winning their last three away fixtures, suggesting they're well-positioned to capitalise on Leicester's vulnerabilities.
The visitors will be particularly buoyed by their commanding 4-1 victory over Leicester in the reverse fixture, where Kevin Schade delivered a memorable hat-trick performance.
Schade, who recently netted the winner against West Ham, continues to be Brentford's danger man, particularly away from home where he's scored his last three goals.
Leicester's task is further complicated by several key absences, including Ricardo Pereira and Abdul Fatawu through injury, while the Bees will have to cope without the services of Rico Henry and Igor Thiago.
The hosts' defensive frailties have been particularly concerning, having conceded exactly two goals in each of their last five matches at the King Power Stadium across all competitions.
Historical head-to-head statistics offer little comfort for Leicester, who have failed to defeat Brentford in their previous three league encounters and are currently without a win in their last six home matches.
With Brentford's recent defensive solidity on display, having kept three clean sheets in their last four away matches, Thomas Frank's side appear well-equipped to extend Leicester's misery and strengthen their own push for a Conference League spot.
Leicester vs. Brentford form
Leicester vs. Brentford head to head
Leicester
75%
Brentford
25%
Nov 30, 2024
Brentford
4 : 1
Leicester
Mar 18, 2023
Brentford
1 : 1
Leicester
Aug 7, 2022
Leicester
2 : 2
Brentford
Mar 20, 2022
Leicester
2 : 1
Brentford
Oct 24, 2021
Brentford
1 : 2
Leicester
Jan 24, 2021
Brentford
1 : 3
Leicester
