Arsenal welcome London rivals West Ham United to the Emirates Stadium for a Premier League showdown, with the Gunners looking to maintain their impressive run of 15 unbeaten home league matches whilst putting pressure on league leaders Liverpool.
The hosts enter the match in formidable form having won four of their last five matches, despite dealing with several key injuries including Gabriel Martinelli, Bukayo Saka, and Gabriel Jesus, whilst West Ham arrive struggling for consistency after collecting just one point from their last four league fixtures.
Recent history favours the Gunners in this fixture, with Arsenal having won their last two encounters against the Hammers, including a commanding 5-2 victory at the London Stadium earlier this season, though both teams have demonstrated their ability to find the back of the net in recent meetings.
With Arsenal's depleted squad facing a West Ham side desperate to halt their poor run of form, this London derby promises to deliver another captivating chapter in this historic rivalry.
Arsenal vs. West Ham prediction: who will win?
For today's Arsenal vs West Ham matchup, our predictive model gives the Gunners a 75% chance of defeating the Hammers.
Pre-game probabilities
Arsenal
Moneyline
Win %
75%
25%
West Ham
Arsenal: 75% win probability
- Exceptional defensive record (Only 22 goals conceded in 25 matches)
- Strong attacking output (51 goals scored, averaging 2.04 goals per game)
- Excellent recent form (WWWDW in last 5 matches)
West Ham: 25% win probability
- Poor defensive record (47 goals conceded, nearly 2 per match)
- Inconsistent form (LLDLW in last 5 matches)
- Low points accumulation (27 points from 25 matches, averaging just 1.08 points per game)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts..
| Arsenal | West Ham | Draw | |
|---|---|---|---|
| match-winner |
Arsenal vs. West Ham preview
A crucial Premier League clash awaits as Arsenal welcome London rivals West Ham United to the Emirates Stadium, with both sides experiencing contrasting fortunes in recent weeks.
The Gunners enter the fixture in impressive form, having secured six wins in their last eight competitive matches, including a convincing 2-0 victory over Leicester City in their previous outing.
Arsenal's home record has been particularly formidable, as they remain undefeated in their last 15 league matches at the Emirates, though they've shown some defensive vulnerability by conceding in five of their last six home fixtures.
West Ham, meanwhile, find themselves in a concerning run of form, collecting just one point from their last four league matches and slipping to 16th in the table following their defeat to Brentford.
The hosts will need to cope with several significant absences, as key attackers Gabriel Martinelli, Bukayo Saka, Kai Havertz, and Gabriel Jesus are all sidelined through injury, leaving manager Mikel Arteta to rely on Raheem Sterling, Leandro Trossard, and young prospect Ethan Nwaneri in attack.
The Hammers are also dealing with their own injury concerns, with Michail Antonio, Vladimír Coufal, Crysencio Summerville, and Niclas Füllkrug all unavailable for the match.
Recent history favours the Gunners, who dominated the reverse fixture earlier this season with a commanding 5-2 victory at the London Stadium, demonstrating their attacking prowess even against fellow London opposition.
Despite their injury-depleted squad, Arsenal's pursuit of league leaders Liverpool and their strong home record make them favourites to secure another vital three points, though West Ham's consistent away scoring record - having found the net in each of their last six Premier League away matches - suggests they could make their presence felt.
With Arsenal's attacking reshape and West Ham's defensive frailties, which have seen them concede in all of their last six matches, an entertaining London derby appears to be on the cards.
Arsenal vs. West Ham form
Arsenal vs. West Ham head to head
Arsenal
60%
West Ham
40%
Nov 30, 2024
West Ham
2 : 5
Arsenal
Feb 11, 2024
West Ham
0 : 6
Arsenal
Dec 28, 2023
Arsenal
0 : 2
West Ham
Nov 1, 2023
West Ham
3 : 1
Arsenal
Apr 16, 2023
West Ham
2 : 2
Arsenal
Dec 26, 2022
Arsenal
3 : 1
West Ham
