Newcastle United welcome Nottingham Forest to St James' Park this Sunday, looking to bounce back from their recent 4-0 defeat at Manchester City and restore their formidable home record where they've netted at least three goals in four of their last six fixtures.
The historical context adds intrigue to this Premier League clash, with both teams having found the net in each of their last five meetings, including Newcastle's convincing 3-1 victory at the City Ground earlier this season.
Eddie Howe's side will have to cope with the absence of key players Joelinton, Jamaal Lascelles, and Sven Botman, while Forest travel north without Nigeria forward Taiwo Awoniyi and goalkeeper Carlos Miguel, setting the stage for what promises to be another high-scoring encounter between these attacking-minded sides.
The Magpies' recent home form, despite showing vulnerability with six goals conceded in their last two matches at St James' Park, contrasts with Forest's impressive scoring record of finding the net in ten of their last eleven Premier League outings.
With Alexander Isak looking to end his three-game goalless run and both teams demonstrating their attacking prowess throughout the season, this fixture presents an intriguing tactical battle between two sides eager to enhance their positions in the Premier League table.
Newcastle vs. Nottingham prediction: who will win?
For today's Newcastle vs Nottingham matchup, our predictive model gives the Newcastle a 75% chance of defeating the Forest.
Pre-game probabilities
Newcastle
Moneyline
Win %
75%
25%
Nottingham
Newcastle: 75% win probability
- Strong attacking force (42 goals scored in 25 matches)
- Solid defensive record (33 goals conceded, among top 8 in league)
- Recent momentum (Won 2 of last 5 matches despite mixed form)
Nottingham: 25% win probability
- Inconsistent recent form (LWLWD in last 5 matches)
- Lower scoring efficiency (41 goals in 25 matches, below top teams)
- Away form concerns (Currently 3rd but showing vulnerability with 6 losses)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts..
| Newcastle | Nottingham | Draw | |
|---|---|---|---|
| match-winner |
Newcastle vs. Nottingham preview
St. James' Park is set to host a crucial Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Nottingham Forest, with both sides looking to revive their European football aspirations after recent setbacks.
The Magpies enter this fixture seeking redemption following a heavy 4-0 defeat at Manchester City and will be eager to maintain their impressive home record, where they've managed to score at least three goals in four of their last six matches.
Eddie Howe's side will have to cope with several notable absences, as Joelinton, Jamaal Lascelles, and Sven Botman are all sidelined through injuries, though both Valentino Livramento and Callum Wilson are pushing for starting berths.
The Tricky Trees arrive at Tyneside having shown remarkable attacking prowess, finding the net in ten of their last eleven Premier League fixtures, though their defensive frailties on the road remain a concern, having conceded three or more goals in three of their last eight away matches.
Alexander Isak will be the player to watch for Newcastle, as despite going three starts without a goal, the Swedish striker boasts an impressive tally of 14 goals in his last 15 competitive appearances.
Recent history between these sides suggests an entertaining affair is on the cards, with both teams scoring in each of their last five meetings, including Newcastle's 3-1 victory at the City Ground earlier this season.
The hosts' home form against top opposition this campaign has been noteworthy, with positive results against the likes of Tottenham, Arsenal, Liverpool, and Aston Villa demonstrating their capability to perform on the big stage.
While Nottingham Forest will be without Nigeria forward Taiwo Awoniyi and goalkeeper Carlos Miguel, their recent attacking output of 2.27 goals per game across their last eleven matches indicates they won't be short of firepower.
Given Newcastle's fortress-like home advantage and Forest's combination of attacking prowess and defensive vulnerability, this match promises to deliver another goal-laden encounter between these two sides.
Newcastle vs. Nottingham form
Newcastle vs. Nottingham head to head
Newcastle
80%
Nottingham
20%
Nov 10, 2024
Nottingham
1 : 3
Newcastle
Aug 28, 2024
Nottingham
1 : 1
Newcastle
Feb 10, 2024
Nottingham
2 : 3
Newcastle
Dec 26, 2023
Newcastle
1 : 3
Nottingham
Mar 17, 2023
Nottingham
1 : 2
Newcastle
Aug 6, 2022
Newcastle
2 : 0
Nottingham
