Brighton's impressive run of form faces a stern test as they prepare to host Bournemouth at the AmEx Stadium, with the Seagulls looking to extend their winning streak to four matches across all competitions following their commanding 4-0 victory over Southampton.
The hosts' attacking prowess has been particularly noteworthy, having netted nine goals in their last three matches, while Bournemouth enter the fixture with defensive concerns following Illia Zabarnyi's suspension and several key injuries to their backline.
Both clubs find themselves in the thick of the European qualification race, with just three points separating sixth-placed Bournemouth from ninth-placed Brighton, making this south coast encounter a potentially pivotal moment in both teams' campaigns.
The Seagulls' recent dominance in this fixture, having won four of the last five meetings between the sides, coupled with Kaoru Mitoma's exceptional form of five goals in his last seven appearances, suggests an intriguing tactical battle lies ahead.
With Brighton's attacking flair meeting Bournemouth's depleted defence, this Premier League clash promises to deliver an entertaining spectacle that could have significant implications for both clubs' European aspirations.
Brighton vs. Bournemouth prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Brighton vs Bournemouth matchup, our predictive model gives the Brighton a 75% chance of defeating the Cherries.
Pre-game probabilities
Brighton
Moneyline
Win %
75%
25%
Bournemouth
Brighton: 75% win probability
- Strong recent form (Won 3 of last 5 matches - WWLLW)
- Superior goal-scoring ability (42 goals scored in 26 matches)
- Better defensive record (38 goals conceded vs Bournemouth's 30 in 26 matches)
Bournemouth: 25% win probability
- Lower scoring efficiency (44 goals in 26 matches despite higher league position)
- Inconsistent away form (Recent form LWLWW shows vulnerability)
- Points deficit (40 points vs 43 points despite playing same number of matches)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts..
| Brighton | Bournemouth | Draw | |
|---|---|---|---|
| match-winner |
Brighton vs. Bournemouth preview
A crucial Premier League clash awaits at the AmEx Stadium as high-flying Brighton host Bournemouth in what promises to be an enthralling encounter between two sides vying for European football.
The Seagulls enter the match in scintillating form, having won their last three matches across all competitions, including an impressive 4-0 thrashing of Southampton that showcased their attacking prowess.
Bournemouth, meanwhile, arrive at the AmEx following a disappointing 1-0 defeat to Wolves, with their defensive concerns compounded by the suspension of centre-back Illia Zabarnyi following his red card in that match.
Brighton's attack has been particularly potent of late, netting nine goals in their last three matches, with Kaoru Mitoma emerging as a key threat having scored five goals in his last seven appearances.
The Japanese winger's record against the Cherries is particularly noteworthy, with four goals in his previous four meetings against Tuesday's opponents.
Both sides have significant injury concerns, with Brighton missing several key players including Dunk, Igor, Kadioglu, and Milner, while Bournemouth are without Enes Unal, Julian Araujo, and Marcos Senesi.
The historical head-to-head record favours the home side, with Brighton winning four of the last five encounters between these south coast rivals.
The return to fitness of both Joel Veltman and Danny Welbeck provides a timely boost for the Seagulls, offering manager Fabian Hurzeler additional tactical options.
With Bournemouth's defensive reshuffle forced by Zabarnyi's absence, Brighton's fluid attack could well prove decisive in what shapes up to be a fascinating tactical battle.
Given Brighton's current momentum and Bournemouth's defensive concerns, the Seagulls appear well-positioned to secure their fourth consecutive victory in what should be an entertaining 2-1 triumph.
Brighton vs. Bournemouth form
Brighton vs. Bournemouth head to head
Brighton
67%
Bournemouth
33%
Nov 23, 2024
Bournemouth
1 : 2
Brighton
Apr 28, 2024
Bournemouth
3 : 0
Brighton
Sep 24, 2023
Brighton
3 : 1
Bournemouth
Apr 4, 2023
Bournemouth
0 : 2
Brighton
Feb 4, 2023
Brighton
1 : 0
Bournemouth
Jan 21, 2020
Bournemouth
3 : 1
Brighton
