Chelsea welcome bottom-placed Southampton to Stamford Bridge in a Premier League clash that sees the Blues looking to bounce back from three consecutive defeats across all competitions.
While Chelsea have maintained impressive home form, losing just once in their last 17 matches at Stamford Bridge, they enter this fixture with several key players sidelined including Nicolas Jackson, Noni Madueke, and Wesley Fofana.
The Saints arrive in London having lost eight of their last nine Premier League matches, including a heavy 4-0 defeat to Brighton, though they did manage to score in each of their last four away fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides have produced plenty of goals, with their most recent encounter ending in a convincing 5-1 victory for Chelsea at St Mary's.
With Chelsea's strong home record facing Southampton's defensive struggles, which have seen them concede three or more goals in their last six Premier League defeats, this match promises to be an intriguing midweek encounter at the Bridge.
Chelsea vs. Southampton prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Chelsea vs Southampton matchup, our predictive model gives the Blues a 78.33% chance of defeating the Saints.
Pre-game probabilities
Chelsea
Moneyline
Win %
78.33%
21.67%
Southampton
Chelsea: 78.33% win probability
- Potent attack (48 goals scored in 26 matches)
- Strong league position (7th place with 43 points)
- Solid defensive record (36 goals conceded, better than league average)
Southampton: 21.67% win probability
- League's worst defensive record (61 goals conceded in 26 matches)
- Poor attacking output (19 goals scored, lowest in the league)
- Dreadful form (21 losses in 26 matches, only 2 wins all season)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts..
| Chelsea | Southampton | Draw | |
|---|---|---|---|
| match-winner |
Chelsea vs. Southampton preview
Chelsea welcome struggling Southampton to Stamford Bridge in what promises to be a crucial Premier League clash, with both sides desperate to reverse their recent poor form.
The Blues enter this fixture on the back of three consecutive defeats, though their home record remains impressive with just one loss in their last 17 matches at the Bridge.
Southampton's dire situation at the bottom of the table, with merely nine points to their name, has been compounded by a devastating 4-0 defeat to Brighton, marking their eighth loss in nine Premier League outings.
Chelsea's injury woes continue to mount, with key players including Nicolas Jackson, Noni Madueke, and Benoît Badiashile all sidelined, though Trevor Chalobah is expected to be fit despite a recent injury scare.
Enzo Fernandez, who found the net in Chelsea's 2-1 defeat to Aston Villa, looks set to continue in an advanced role and could prove crucial to the Blues' attacking endeavours.
The previous meeting between these sides saw Chelsea emerge as emphatic 5-1 victors at St Mary's, with Cole Palmer and Jadon Sancho among the scorers.
Despite their struggles, Southampton have managed to score in their last four away fixtures and memorably won their previous visit to Stamford Bridge in February 2023.
Chelsea's defensive fragility, having kept just one clean sheet in their last 11 matches across all competitions, suggests the Saints might find the net despite their lowly position.
However, with Southampton shipping three or more goals in each of their last six Premier League defeats, Chelsea should have enough firepower to secure a comfortable victory.
A 3-1 scoreline appears likely as Chelsea look to capitalise on their strong home form and push towards their top-four aspirations, while Southampton continue their battle against relegation.
Chelsea vs. Southampton form
Chelsea vs. Southampton head to head
Chelsea
60%
Southampton
40%
Dec 4, 2024
Southampton
1 : 5
Chelsea
Feb 18, 2023
Chelsea
0 : 1
Southampton
Aug 30, 2022
Southampton
2 : 1
Chelsea
Apr 9, 2022
Southampton
0 : 6
Chelsea
Oct 26, 2021
Chelsea
1 : 1
Southampton
Oct 2, 2021
Chelsea
3 : 1
Southampton
