Crystal Palace welcome Aston Villa to Selhurst Park for what promises to be an intriguing Premier League encounter, with both sides entering the match in contrasting form following significant weekend victories.
The Eagles, buoyed by their impressive 2-0 triumph over Fulham, have lost just two of their last nine Premier League matches, while Villa's recent 2-1 victory against Chelsea was overshadowed by their concerning away record of just two wins in their last eleven road fixtures.
Palace's in-form striker Jean-Philippe Mateta, who memorably netted a hat-trick in last season's 5-0 home victory against Villa, will be looking to continue his remarkable run of seven goals in his previous six league appearances, though Villa's Champions League aspirations could provide extra motivation for Unai Emery's side.
With Palace unbeaten in their last three meetings against Villa and the visitors struggling away from home, this midweek clash could prove pivotal for both teams' respective ambitions in the Premier League campaign.
Crystal Palace vs. Aston Villa prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa matchup, our predictive model gives Palace a 75% chance of defeating Villa.
Pre-game probabilities
Crystal Palace
Moneyline
Win %
75%
25%
Aston Villa
Crystal Palace: 75% win probability
- Strong defensive record (Only 32 goals conceded, 6th best in league)
- Recent form momentum (WLWLW in last 5 matches)
- Solid home defensive organisation (1.23 goals conceded per game)
Aston Villa: 25% win probability
- Poor defensive record (41 goals conceded, worse than 13 other teams)
- Inconsistent recent form (WDDLD in last 5 matches)
- Draw-heavy results (9 draws, joint-highest in league)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts..
| Crystal Palace | Aston Villa | Draw | |
|---|---|---|---|
| match-winner |
Crystal Palace vs. Aston Villa preview
Crystal Palace and Aston Villa are set for an intriguing Premier League clash at Selhurst Park, with both sides entering the match on the back of impressive victories.
The Eagles, buoyed by their convincing 2-0 triumph over Fulham, have shown remarkable resilience lately, losing just two of their last nine Premier League matches whilst maintaining an impressive goalscoring record of finding the net in their last six outings.
Aston Villa, despite their overall strong season, arrive with concerning away form, having won just two of their last eleven road matches across all competitions, though they'll be riding high after their dramatic 2-1 victory over Chelsea, courtesy of Marco Asensio's brilliant brace.
The hosts will be particularly encouraged by their recent head-to-head record against Villa, remaining unbeaten in their last three encounters, including a memorable 5-0 thrashing in their previous meeting at Selhurst Park.
Jean-Philippe Mateta emerges as the player to watch for Palace, having netted an impressive seven goals in his last six Premier League appearances, whilst Villa will look to the prolific Ollie Watkins to lead their attack.
Both sides are dealing with injury concerns, with Palace missing Joel Ward, Cheick Doucoure, and Chadi Riad, while Villa face selection headaches with Tyrone Mings and Morgan Rogers joining their injury list following the Chelsea match.
The tactical battle between Oliver Glasner and Unai Emery promises to be fascinating, with Palace likely to employ a 3-4-3 formation against Villa's preferred 4-2-3-1 setup.
Despite Villa's loftier league position, Palace's strong home record against the Villans and their recent upturn in form suggest this could be a closely fought contest, with both sides likely to find the back of the net in what promises to be an entertaining evening of Premier League football.
Crystal Palace vs. Aston Villa form
Crystal Palace vs. Aston Villa head to head
Crystal Palace
60%
Aston Villa
40%
Nov 23, 2024
Aston Villa
2 : 2
Crystal Palace
Oct 30, 2024
Aston Villa
1 : 2
Crystal Palace
May 19, 2024
Crystal Palace
5 : 0
Aston Villa
Sep 16, 2023
Aston Villa
3 : 1
Crystal Palace
Mar 4, 2023
Aston Villa
1 : 0
Crystal Palace
Aug 20, 2022
Crystal Palace
3 : 1
Aston Villa
