Brentford welcome Everton to the Gtech Community Stadium on Wednesday night, with both sides showing contrasting forms as the Bees come off an impressive 4-0 victory against Leicester City while the Toffees remain undefeated in their last six league matches.
Thomas Frank's side have struggled at home recently, failing to win their last five home league matches, whilst David Moyes's Everton have shown remarkable resilience on their travels, losing just once in their last five away fixtures.
The match presents an intriguing tactical battle, with Brentford's attacking prowess, having netted nine times in their last six outings, set to test Everton's increasingly robust defence, though both sides are dealing with significant injury concerns that could shape the encounter.
Brentford vs. Everton prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Brentford vs Everton matchup, our predictive model gives the Bees a 65% chance of defeating the Toffees.
Pre-game probabilities
Brentford
Moneyline
Win %
65%
35%
Everton
Brentford: 65% win probability
- Superior attacking prowess (47 goals scored compared to Everton's 29)
- Better league position (11th place vs 14th place)
- Strong recent form (WWLWL with 3 wins in last 5 matches)
Everton: 35% win probability
- Poor goal-scoring record (Only 29 goals in 26 matches)
- Low win rate (Only 7 wins in 26 matches)
- Struggles to secure victories (10 draws, most in the league alongside Crystal Palace)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts..
| Brentford | Everton | Draw | |
|---|---|---|---|
| match-winner |
Brentford vs. Everton preview
A compelling Premier League clash awaits as Brentford welcome Everton to the Gtech Community Stadium, with both sides showcasing contrasting forms at this crucial stage of the season.
The Bees enter this fixture on the back of a spectacular 4-0 victory against Leicester City, where their clinical finishing was on full display with goals from Wissa, Mbeumo, Nørgaard, and Carvalho.
However, Thomas Frank's side faces a peculiar challenge, having failed to secure a victory in their last five home matches, a concerning statistic that they'll be desperate to overturn.
Everton, under David Moyes's stewardship, arrive in fine fettle, remaining undefeated in their previous six league matches and demonstrating remarkable resilience in their recent 2-2 draw with Manchester United.
The Toffees' impressive away form, having lost just once in their last five road trips, suggests they could prove troublesome for their hosts, despite carrying a significant injury list including key players Calvert-Lewin and McNeil.
The head-to-head record favours Everton, who remain unbeaten in their last five league encounters against Brentford and have shown particular prowess in their away meetings.
Both sides will need to navigate through injury concerns, with Brentford missing several key players including Christian Nørgaard and Rico Henry, while Everton cope with the absence of seven first-team players.
The tactical battle promises to be intriguing, with both managers likely to deploy a 4-2-3-1 formation, though recent statistics suggest this could be a tight, low-scoring affair given that fewer than three goals have been scored in eight of Everton's last ten away fixtures.
Given the recent form and historical context, this match could well end in a closely fought contest, with both sides' defensive resilience likely to play a crucial role in determining the outcome.
Brentford vs. Everton form
Brentford vs. Everton head to head
Brentford
25%
Everton
75%
Nov 23, 2024
Everton
0 : 0
Brentford
Apr 27, 2024
Everton
1 : 0
Brentford
Sep 23, 2023
Brentford
1 : 3
Everton
Mar 11, 2023
Everton
1 : 0
Brentford
Aug 27, 2022
Brentford
1 : 1
Everton
May 15, 2022
Everton
2 : 3
Brentford
