Liverpool's remarkable Premier League campaign continues as they welcome Newcastle United to Anfield, with the Reds looking to extend their 11-point lead at the summit following an impressive 2-0 victory over Manchester City.
The hosts enter the fixture in formidable form, having gone unbeaten in their last 16 matches against Newcastle, whilst Mohamed Salah's scoring streak of eight consecutive matches adds another layer of intrigue to this compelling matchup.
Newcastle, despite their recent 4-3 triumph over Nottingham Forest, face a significant challenge away from home, though their attacking prowess - having scored at least twice in four of their last six matches - suggests this could develop into another high-scoring affair at Anfield.
With both sides set to meet again in next month's EFL Cup final, this Premier League clash serves as a fascinating preview of what's to come, though the Magpies will need to overcome their 28-match winless streak at Anfield if they're to upset the title favourites.
This midweek Premier League fixture promises to be an enthralling encounter between two attacking sides, with Liverpool's title aspirations and Newcastle's away form improvement hanging in the balance.
Liverpool vs. Newcastle prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Liverpool vs Newcastle matchup, our predictive model gives the Reds a 76.67% chance of defeating the Magpies.
Pre-game probabilities
Liverpool
Moneyline
Win %
76.67%
23.33%
Newcastle
Liverpool: 76.67% win probability
- League-leading attack (64 goals scored in 27 matches)
- Best defensive record (Only 26 goals conceded in 27 matches)
- Exceptional form (Recent form: WDWDW, only 1 loss all season)
Newcastle: 23.33% win probability
- Inconsistent form (Recent form: WLLWL)
- Defensive vulnerability (36 goals conceded compared to Liverpool's 26)
- Poor away record (Currently 6th with 44 points despite similar matches played)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts..
| Liverpool | Newcastle | Draw | |
|---|---|---|---|
| match-winner |
Liverpool vs. Newcastle preview
Liverpool are set to host Newcastle United at Anfield in a crucial Premier League fixture that doubles as a preview of next month's EFL Cup final, with the Reds looking to extend their impressive 11-point lead at the summit.
The Merseyside outfit enter this clash in formidable form, fresh off a commanding 2-0 victory against Manchester City, where Mohamed Salah and Dominik Szoboszlai's first-half strikes demonstrated their title credentials.
Newcastle, despite their struggles on the road, showed their attacking prowess in a thrilling 4-3 victory over Nottingham Forest, with Alexander Isak notching an impressive brace to boost their confidence ahead of this challenging fixture.
The historical context adds another layer of intrigue, as Newcastle haven't managed a league victory at Anfield in their last 28 attempts, whilst Liverpool remain unbeaten against the Magpies in their previous 16 league encounters.
Mohamed Salah continues to be the standout performer for Liverpool, having found the net in each of his last eight matches across all competitions, whilst the return of fit-again Cody Gakpo provides manager Arne Slot with additional firepower.
The visitors will have to cope with several notable absences, including Sven Botman, Joelinton, and Jamaal Lascelles, whilst Liverpool will be without Tyler Morton, Conor Bradley, and Joe Gomez through injury.
Recent meetings between these sides have produced entertaining affairs, exemplified by their thrilling 3-3 draw at St James' Park in December, where Fabian Schär's 90th-minute equaliser denied Liverpool all three points.
With five of Newcastle's last seven matches producing over 3.5 goals and both teams scoring in seven of Liverpool's 12 home league fixtures, supporters can anticipate another high-scoring encounter at Anfield.
Given Liverpool's imperious home form and Newcastle's defensive frailties on their travels, the hosts appear well-positioned to secure another vital victory in their pursuit of the Premier League crown, though Eddie Howe's men should not be underestimated in what promises to be an enthralling midweek clash.
Liverpool vs. Newcastle form
Liverpool vs. Newcastle head to head
Liverpool
100%
Newcastle
0%
Dec 4, 2024
Newcastle
3 : 3
Liverpool
Jan 1, 2024
Liverpool
4 : 2
Newcastle
Aug 27, 2023
Newcastle
1 : 2
Liverpool
Feb 18, 2023
Newcastle
0 : 2
Liverpool
Aug 31, 2022
Liverpool
2 : 1
Newcastle
Apr 30, 2022
Newcastle
0 : 1
Liverpool
