West Ham United welcome Leicester City to the London Stadium in a crucial Premier League clash, with the Hammers riding high following their impressive 1-0 victory over Arsenal at the Emirates Stadium.
The hosts, spearheaded by the in-form Jarrod Bowen who has netted three times in his last five appearances, will be looking to secure back-to-back Premier League wins for the first time since August against a Leicester side that has lost ten of their last eleven league matches.
While West Ham have shown resilience by earning points against several strong sides since Christmas, Leicester's struggles continue with just one away victory against non-relegation sides this season, setting the stage for an intriguing battle in East London.
Both sides enter the match with significant injury concerns, as West Ham miss key players including Lucas Paquetá and Michail Antonio, while Leicester continue without Ricardo Pereira and Harry Souttar.
This Premier League prediction analysis examines whether the Hammers can capitalise on their recent momentum or if the desperate Foxes can spark a crucial turnaround in their fight for survival.
West Ham vs. Leicester prediction: who will win?
For tonight's West Ham vs Leicester matchup, our predictive model gives the Hammers a 72.5% chance of defeating the Foxes.
Pre-game probabilities
West Ham
Moneyline
Win %
72.5%
27.5%
Leicester
West Ham: 72.5% win probability
- Higher league position (16th vs 19th in table)
- Better goal-scoring record (30 goals scored vs Leicester's 25)
- Superior defensive record (47 goals conceded vs Leicester's 59)
Leicester: 27.5% win probability
- Poor recent form (LLLWL in last five matches)
- Significant defensive vulnerability (59 goals conceded in 26 matches)
- Low points accumulation (17 points from 26 matches, averaging 0.65 points per game)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts..
| West Ham | Leicester | Draw | |
|---|---|---|---|
| match-winner |
West Ham vs. Leicester preview
West Ham United are set to host Leicester City in a crucial Premier League clash, with both sides desperately seeking points for vastly different reasons in the table.
The Hammers enter this fixture with renewed confidence following their impressive 1-0 victory over title-chasing Arsenal, where Jarrod Bowen's clinical finish proved decisive at the Emirates.
Leicester City, meanwhile, find themselves in dire straits after a devastating 4-0 home defeat to Brentford, marking their fourth consecutive loss and leaving them five points adrift of safety.
The Foxes' recent form has been particularly concerning, having lost ten of their last eleven Premier League matches and failing to score in five of their last six league fixtures.
Jarrod Bowen continues to be West Ham's talisman, with the forward notching his seventh goal of the season against Arsenal, making it his third strike in five appearances.
Both sides are dealing with significant injury concerns, with West Ham missing key players including Lucas Paquetá and Michail Antonio, while Leicester are without James Justin and Harry Souttar.
The historical head-to-head record between these sides has been closely contested, with their last six meetings producing an impressive average of 3.83 goals per match.
However, Leicester's away form against teams outside the relegation zone has been particularly poor this season, managing to avoid defeat just twice in such fixtures.
Given West Ham's recent upturn in form and Leicester's ongoing struggles, the Hammers appear well-positioned to secure consecutive Premier League victories for the first time since August.
With Bowen in fine form and Leicester's defensive frailties exposed, this London Stadium encounter could prove crucial in both teams' respective battles at different ends of the table.
West Ham vs. Leicester form
West Ham vs. Leicester head to head
West Ham
40%
Leicester
60%
Dec 3, 2024
Leicester
3 : 1
West Ham
May 28, 2023
Leicester
2 : 1
West Ham
Nov 12, 2022
West Ham
0 : 2
Leicester
Feb 13, 2022
Leicester
2 : 2
West Ham
Aug 23, 2021
West Ham
4 : 1
Leicester
Apr 11, 2021
West Ham
3 : 2
Leicester
