The London Stadium is set for a Monday night showdown as West Ham look to build on their impressive back-to-back victories over Arsenal and Leicester, though they'll face a Newcastle side desperate to shake off their recent Premier League struggles.
The Hammers have found their groove with consecutive clean sheets and sit comfortably clear of relegation worries, while the visitors' form has taken a concerning dip with four losses in their last six league matches - not helped by the absence of suspended forward Anthony Gordon.
All eyes will be on whether West Ham can replicate their earlier 2-0 triumph at St James' Park when the home team squares off against an away side whose attention might be split by their upcoming Wembley appearance.
West Ham vs. Newcastle prediction: who will win?
For tonight's West Ham vs Newcastle matchup, our predictive model gives the Magpies a 55% chance of defeating the Hammers.
Pre-game probabilities
Newcastle
Moneyline
Win %
55%
45%
West Ham
Newcastle: 55% win probability
- Superior goal-scoring ability (46 goals scored compared to West Ham's 32)
- Better defensive record (38 goals conceded vs West Ham's 47)
- Higher league position (9th place with 44 points vs West Ham's 16th with 33 points)
West Ham: 45% win probability
- Poor defensive record (47 goals conceded, 4th worst in top half)
- Inconsistent form (WWLLD in recent matches)
- Lower goal-scoring output (32 goals in 27 matches, 1.19 goals per game)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts..
| West Ham | Newcastle | Draw | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result |
West Ham vs. Newcastle preview
West Ham's London Stadium is set for a cracking Monday night clash as the resurgent Hammers look to build on their impressive back-to-back victories against Arsenal and Leicester City.
The hosts' recent defensive solidity has been remarkable, with clean sheets in both wins, though they'll face a stern test from Newcastle's Alexander Isak, who's been in fine scoring form despite his team's recent struggles.
The Magpies arrive in the capital with some concerning baggage - they've lost four of their last six Premier League matches and were just knocked out of the FA Cup by Brighton in extra time.
Eddie Howe's side will be without Anthony Gordon through suspension, while the Hammers are dealing with their own personnel issues as Lucas Paqueta and Niclas Fullkrug remain sidelined.
The earlier season meeting at St James' Park saw West Ham nick a surprising 2-0 victory, with Tomas Soucek pulling the strings in midfield - a performance they'll hope to replicate.
Jarrod Bowen's shift to a central striking role has proved a masterstroke for the Hammers, with the England international notching two goals in four matches since his return from injury.
Newcastle's away form has been particularly worrying, as they're without a win in their last two league matches on the road, while the Hammers seem to have found their groove under Potter's guidance.
With West Ham sitting comfortably clear of relegation worries and playing with newfound freedom, this match promises to be an intriguing tactical battle between two sides with contrasting recent fortunes.
West Ham vs. Newcastle form
West Ham vs. Newcastle head to head
West Ham
33%
Newcastle
67%
Nov 25, 2024
Newcastle
0 : 2
West Ham
Mar 30, 2024
Newcastle
4 : 3
West Ham
Oct 8, 2023
West Ham
2 : 2
Newcastle
Apr 5, 2023
West Ham
1 : 5
Newcastle
Feb 4, 2023
Newcastle
1 : 1
West Ham
Feb 19, 2022
West Ham
1 : 1
Newcastle
