The Emirates Stadium hosts a crucial London derby as a rested Arsenal squad, missing key attackers Jesus, Havertz, and Saka, looks to capitalize on Fulham's shattered confidence following their crushing FA Cup exit to Crystal Palace.
While Mikel Arteta welcomes back Italian defender Riccardo Calafiori, Fulham's defensive woes continue with their backline conceding in five of their last six matches, though Raúl Jiménez's potential start offers a glimmer of hope for the visitors.
Recent history between these sides shows a competitive edge with three draws in their last six meetings, setting up a fascinating contest as Arsenal face Fulham with their Premier League ambitions hanging in the balance.
Arsenal vs. Fulham prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Arsenal vs Fulham matchup, our predictive model gives the Gunners a a 77.5% chance of defeating the Cottagers.
Pre-game probabilities
Arsenal
Moneyline
Win %
77.5%
22.5%
Fulham
Arsenal: 77.5% win probability
- Strong defensive record (Only 24 goals conceded in 29 matches)
- Excellent league position (Currently 2nd in the table with 58 points)
- Consistent performance (Only 3 losses all season, fewer than most teams)
Fulham: 22.5% win probability
- Vulnerable defense (38 goals conceded, 14 more than Arsenal)
- Poor away form (Shown by their lower position despite similar games played)
- Inconsistent results (Recent form shows alternating wins and losses - WLWLW)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts..
| Arsenal | Fulham | Draw | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result |
Arsenal vs. Fulham preview
Arsenal host Fulham in a compelling London derby Tuesday night at the Emirates, with both sides bringing contrasting emotions into the fixture after their latest outings.
Mikel Arteta's Gunners enter the clash with fresh legs following a weekend break, though they'll need to cope without their attacking trio of Gabriel Jesus, Kai Havertz, and Bukayo Saka—a significant blow to their offensive capabilities.
The Cottagers arrive at the Emirates feeling rather deflated after a crushing 3-0 FA Cup defeat to Crystal Palace, and Marco Silva's squad will likely need a remarkable turnaround in form to challenge Arsenal's home dominance.
Looking at their recent Premier League encounters, the head-to-head record makes for interesting reading—Arsenal haven't managed a victory against Fulham in their last three league matches, including a 1-1 stalemate in their December clash where Raúl Jiménez cancelled out William Saliba's effort.
While Arsenal's push for Premier League glory keeps them motivated, their defensive solidity should prove too much for a Fulham side that's leaked goals in five of their last six fixtures.
Thomas Partey could be instrumental in controlling the midfield battle, with the Ghanaian's versatility allowing him to dictate play alongside Rice and Ødegaard.
Italian defender Riccardo Calafiori's recovery from injury provides a timely boost to Arsenal's backline, though they'll need to remain vigilant against Jiménez, who's pushing for a starting role and previously netted against the Gunners.
With the North London side's solid home form and Fulham's defensive frailties, I'm backing Arsenal to secure a comfortable victory that keeps their title ambitions burning bright.
Arsenal vs. Fulham form
Arsenal vs. Fulham head to head
Arsenal
67%
Fulham
33%
Dec 8, 2024
Fulham
1 : 1
Arsenal
Dec 31, 2023
Fulham
2 : 1
Arsenal
Aug 26, 2023
Arsenal
2 : 2
Fulham
Mar 12, 2023
Fulham
0 : 3
Arsenal
Aug 27, 2022
Arsenal
2 : 1
Fulham
Apr 18, 2021
Arsenal
1 : 1
Fulham
