Liverpool's quest for Premier League glory faces its emotional test as they host Everton in what promises to be another fiery Merseyside derby, with the Reds missing key defender Trent Alexander-Arnold but bolstered by Mohamed Salah's scintillating form of 13 goal contributions in his last eight league appearances.
David Moyes has transformed the Toffees into a resilient outfit unbeaten in six matches, though their three consecutive defeats at Anfield cast doubt on their ability to upset the title chasers.
With Liverpool having conceded in six of their last seven home fixtures and Everton finding the net in their last six league games, the stage is set for a potentially thrilling encounter between Liverpool and Everton at the cauldron of Anfield.
Liverpool vs. Everton prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Liverpool vs Everton matchup, our predictive model gives the Reds an 82.5% chance of defeating the Toffees.
Pre-game probabilities
Liverpool
Moneyline
Win %
82.5%
17.5%
Everton
Liverpool: 82.5% win probability
- Dominant league position (Top of the table with 70 points from 29 matches)
- Exceptional attacking prowess (69 goals scored, the highest in the league)
- Strong recent form (WWWDW with only 1 loss all season)
Everton: 17.5% win probability
- Struggling to convert draws into wins (13 draws, most in the league)
- Poor goal-scoring record (32 goals in 29 matches, among the lowest in the league)
- Significant points gap to top teams (36 points behind Liverpool in the table)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts..
| Liverpool | Everton | Draw | |
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Liverpool vs. Everton preview
The Merseyside derby kicks off this Wednesday evening with Liverpool looking to cement their title ambitions while Everton aim to continue their impressive run under David Moyes, having lost just once in their last ten fixtures across all competitions.
The Reds enter this heated rivalry clash short-handed, missing key defensive options Trent Alexander-Arnold, Conor Bradley, and Joe Gomez through injuries, while Cody Gakpo is likely to earn a starting spot after coming off the bench in their EFL Cup defeat to Newcastle.
Liverpool's form at Anfield remains formidable despite their recent cup disappointments, with their only league defeat this season coming against Nottingham Forest back in September.
Mohamed Salah, who's bagged eight goals against the Toffees previously and contributed to 13 goals in his last eight Premier League outings, will surely be the focal point of Arne Slot's attacking strategy.
The blue half of Liverpool has shown tremendous resilience lately, going unbeaten in six matches including a spirited 2-2 draw in the last Merseyside derby at Goodison Park.
Everton's resurgence under Moyes faces a stern test though, as they've lost their last three visits to Anfield, and they'll be sweating on the fitness of Dwight McNeil while missing several key players including Dominic Calvert-Lewin.
Both teams have demonstrated a knack for finding the net recently – Everton scoring in all six of their unbeaten run while Liverpool have conceded in six of their last seven home league fixtures.
The atmosphere at Anfield promises to be electric as these bitter rivals clash in what could be a tighter affair than the form book suggests, though the hosts remain favorites to claim local bragging rights.
Liverpool vs. Everton form
Liverpool vs. Everton head to head
Liverpool
75%
Everton
25%
Feb 12, 2025
Everton
2 : 2
Liverpool
Apr 24, 2024
Everton
2 : 0
Liverpool
Oct 21, 2023
Liverpool
2 : 0
Everton
Feb 13, 2023
Liverpool
2 : 0
Everton
Sep 3, 2022
Everton
0 : 0
Liverpool
Apr 24, 2022
Liverpool
2 : 0
Everton
