Newcastle vs Brentford Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips

Fresh off their EFL Cup triumph against Liverpool, Newcastle welcome a Brentford side riding high on a five-match away winning streak—though the visitors haven't faced opposition of the Magpies' caliber during that run.

With just two points separating Eddie Howe's men from a Champions League berth and the Bees missing several key players through injury, St. James' Park could witness another goal-fest, considering the last two meetings between these sides ended 4-2.

All eyes will be on Alexander Isak to deliver for Newcastle vs Brentford in what promises to be an entertaining Wednesday night clash under the lights.

Newcastle vs. Brentford prediction: who will win?

For today's Newcastle vs Brentford matchup, our predictive model gives the Magpies a 81.67% chance of defeating the Bees.

Newcastle: 81.67% win probability

Strong home form (3 wins in last 5 matches as shown by WLWLL recent form)
Defensive solidity (38 goals conceded, the 6th best defensive record in the league)
Higher league position (6th place with 47 points compared to Brentford's 11th position)

Brentford: 18.33% win probability

Poor away record (reflected in their overall form WLDWW showing inconsistency)
Defensive vulnerability (45 goals conceded, 7 more than Newcastle)
Limited points return (41 points from 29 games compared to Newcastle's 47 from 28)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts.

Newcastle vs. Brentford odds

Here are the latest odds for the Premier League fixture where Newcastle are set to host Brentford at St James' Park on Wednesday, April 02.

	Newcastle	Brentford	Draw
Match Result	3/4 (via Betway UK)	3/1 (via Betway UK)	16/5 ( via Betway UK)

Newcastle vs. Brentford preview

Newcastle's EFL Cup triumph against Liverpool has injected fresh confidence into the Magpies' camp as they welcome Brentford to St James' Park on Wednesday night, with Champions League qualification still very much in their sights.

Eddie Howe's men sit just two points off a top-four berth and have turned their home ground into something of a goal factory, with over 2.5 goals landing in each of their last seven Premier League matches at the famous old stadium.

The Bees arrive in impressive away form, having won their last five league games on the road, though it's worth noting they've faced predominantly lower-half opposition during this purple patch.

Alexander Isak, fresh from netting the winner in Newcastle's cup final success, continues his remarkable scoring form with 19 Premier League goals this season – a tally bettered only by Mohamed Salah and Erling Haaland.

Brentford's attack can't be underestimated either, having failed to score in just three of their 19 away matches this campaign, which sets us up for what could be another goal-fest between these two free-scoring sides.

Recent history certainly points to fireworks, with the last two league meetings ending in identical 4-2 scorelines, including Newcastle's victory in this fixture last May.

Both sides will need to navigate injury concerns – the hosts missing Botman, Lascelles and Hall, while Brentford's treatment room remains crowded with Henry, Nunes, Dasilva, Kayode, Thiago, Hickey and Carvalho all sidelined.

The Magpies' intimidating home record against the Bees – who've lost their last three visits to St James' Park – suggests Eddie Howe's rejuvenated squad might just have too much firepower for Thomas Frank's men in what promises to be an entertainingly open contest.

Newcastle vs. Brentford betting tips

Both Teams To Score and Over 2.5 Goals (8/11)

Brentford @ Newcastle

Newcastle's attacking prowess at St James' Park has been evident with over 2.5 goals landing in their last seven Premier League home games.

The Magpies have found the net in 16 of their 18 home matches this season, making them a reliable scoring threat.

Brentford have only failed to score in three of their 19 away fixtures this term, suggesting they'll likely find the net.

The last three competitive meetings between these sides have produced this outcome, establishing a clear pattern.

With both teams possessing quality attacking options, this promises to be an open affair with multiple goals.

Alexander Isak To Score Anytime (11/10)

Brentford @ Newcastle

Alexander Isak has been in tremendous form this season, with only Mohamed Salah and Erling Haaland finding the net more frequently in the Premier League.

The Swedish striker enters this fixture brimming with confidence after scoring the winner in the League Cup final.

Isak's recent record shows four goals in his last four appearances, highlighting his clinical edge in front of goal.

Newcastle's home advantage should provide Isak with ample scoring opportunities against a Brentford defence that has been vulnerable on the road.

His movement and finishing ability make him the most likely candidate to break down the Bees' backline.

Newcastle to Win 4-2 (33/1)

Brentford @ Newcastle

Historical precedent strongly supports this specific scoreline, with the last two Premier League meetings between these sides ending 4-2.

Newcastle's last home Premier League match produced seven goals in a 4-3 victory over Nottingham Forest, showcasing their attacking intent.

The Magpies demonstrated their ability to put four past Brentford in their most recent encounter in May 2024.

St James' Park has become a fortress where Newcastle regularly score multiple goals while occasionally leaving gaps at the back.

Brentford's attacking approach under Thomas Frank means they rarely go down without finding the net at least once.

Key stats

1
Newcastle are currently in 6th position with 47 points from 28 matches, having won 14, drawn 5 and lost 9
2
Brentford sit 11th in the table on 41 points after 29 games with a record of 12 wins, 5 draws and 12 losses
3
Newcastle have lost three consecutive matches with a recent form of WLWLL, while Brentford have won three of their last five games (WLDWW)
4
Brentford have scored more goals (50) than Newcastle (47) this season, but Newcastle have conceded fewer (38 vs 45)