Fresh off their EFL Cup triumph against Liverpool, Newcastle welcome a Brentford side riding high on a five-match away winning streak—though the visitors haven't faced opposition of the Magpies' caliber during that run.
With just two points separating Eddie Howe's men from a Champions League berth and the Bees missing several key players through injury, St. James' Park could witness another goal-fest, considering the last two meetings between these sides ended 4-2.
All eyes will be on Alexander Isak to deliver for Newcastle vs Brentford in what promises to be an entertaining Wednesday night clash under the lights.
Newcastle vs. Brentford prediction: who will win?
For today's Newcastle vs Brentford matchup, our predictive model gives the Magpies a 81.67% chance of defeating the Bees.
Pre-game probabilities
Newcastle
Moneyline
Win %
81.67%
18.33%
Brentford
Newcastle: 81.67% win probability
- Strong home form (3 wins in last 5 matches as shown by WLWLL recent form)
- Defensive solidity (38 goals conceded, the 6th best defensive record in the league)
- Higher league position (6th place with 47 points compared to Brentford's 11th position)
Brentford: 18.33% win probability
- Poor away record (reflected in their overall form WLDWW showing inconsistency)
- Defensive vulnerability (45 goals conceded, 7 more than Newcastle)
- Limited points return (41 points from 29 games compared to Newcastle's 47 from 28)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts..
| Newcastle | Brentford | Draw | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result |
Newcastle vs. Brentford preview
Newcastle's EFL Cup triumph against Liverpool has injected fresh confidence into the Magpies' camp as they welcome Brentford to St James' Park on Wednesday night, with Champions League qualification still very much in their sights.
Eddie Howe's men sit just two points off a top-four berth and have turned their home ground into something of a goal factory, with over 2.5 goals landing in each of their last seven Premier League matches at the famous old stadium.
The Bees arrive in impressive away form, having won their last five league games on the road, though it's worth noting they've faced predominantly lower-half opposition during this purple patch.
Alexander Isak, fresh from netting the winner in Newcastle's cup final success, continues his remarkable scoring form with 19 Premier League goals this season – a tally bettered only by Mohamed Salah and Erling Haaland.
Brentford's attack can't be underestimated either, having failed to score in just three of their 19 away matches this campaign, which sets us up for what could be another goal-fest between these two free-scoring sides.
Recent history certainly points to fireworks, with the last two league meetings ending in identical 4-2 scorelines, including Newcastle's victory in this fixture last May.
Both sides will need to navigate injury concerns – the hosts missing Botman, Lascelles and Hall, while Brentford's treatment room remains crowded with Henry, Nunes, Dasilva, Kayode, Thiago, Hickey and Carvalho all sidelined.
The Magpies' intimidating home record against the Bees – who've lost their last three visits to St James' Park – suggests Eddie Howe's rejuvenated squad might just have too much firepower for Thomas Frank's men in what promises to be an entertainingly open contest.
Newcastle vs. Brentford form
Newcastle vs. Brentford head to head
Newcastle
83%
Brentford
17%
Dec 18, 2024
Newcastle
3 : 1
Brentford
Dec 7, 2024
Brentford
4 : 2
Newcastle
May 19, 2024
Brentford
2 : 4
Newcastle
Sep 16, 2023
Newcastle
1 : 0
Brentford
Apr 8, 2023
Brentford
1 : 2
Newcastle
Oct 8, 2022
Newcastle
5 : 1
Brentford
