Southampton vs Crystal Palace Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips

Southampton's five-game losing streak has left them teetering on the brink of relegation, with Paul Onuachu possibly getting the nod up front to spark some life into a side that's leaked 17 goals in their last six matches.

Crystal Palace, meanwhile, arrive at St. Mary's riding a three-game Premier League winning streak and fresh off an impressive FA Cup quarter-final triumph over Fulham, with talisman Eberechi Eze likely to cause problems for a fragile Saints defense.

Recent history doesn't bode well for the struggling hosts, as the last time these teams met at this ground, Southampton 0-2 Crystal Palace was the final scoreline.

Southampton vs. Crystal Palace prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Southampton vs Crystal Palace matchup, our predictive model gives the Palace a 75% chance of defeating the Saints.

Crystal Palace: 75% win probability

Strong recent form (WWWLW) with 3 wins in their last 5 matches
Solid defensive record (33 goals conceded in 28 matches, ranking among the better defenses in the league)
Higher league position (12th with 39 points compared to Southampton's 20th with just 9 points)

Southampton: 25% win probability

Dreadful recent form (LLLLL) with 5 consecutive losses
League-worst defensive record (70 goals conceded in 29 matches)
Lowest points total in the league (9 points from just 2 wins in 29 matches)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts.

Southampton vs. Crystal Palace odds

Here are the latest odds for Southampton, playing at home, versus Crystal Palace in the Premier League fixture set for Wednesday, April 02.

	Southampton	Crystal Palace	Draw
Match Result	19/4 (via Betway UK)	57/100 (via Betway UK)	3/1 ( via Betway UK)

Southampton vs. Crystal Palace preview

Southampton welcome Crystal Palace to St Mary's desperately seeking to halt their nightmare run of five straight league defeats, with the Saints looking like dead men walking in their fight against relegation.

The home side's leaky defense has been their undoing, shipping a whopping 17 goals in their last six matches, while they haven't tasted victory in front of their own fans for nine painful league outings.

In stark contrast, Palace are flying high on a three-game Premier League winning streak and fresh off a dominant 3-0 FA Cup demolition of Fulham, where Eberechi Eze continued his electric form.

The Eagles' away form makes for ominous reading for Southampton supporters—they're unbeaten in their last nine league matches on the road and haven't lost at St Mary's in their previous two visits.

Paul Onuachu offers a glimmer of hope for the hosts after finding the net last time out, but Saints boss Ivan Jurić will need to plan without several injured players including Ross Stewart and Ryan Fraser.

Palace will miss the services of Joel Ward, Cheick Doucouré and Chadi Riad, though their attacking unit looks more than capable of causing damage against this porous Southampton backline.

History doesn't favor the home side either, with Palace winning four of their last five head-to-head encounters, including a 2-1 victory in their most recent meeting in December.

Given the contrasting trajectories of both sides, it's hard to see past another away win for Oliver Glasner's men, though Southampton's fight for survival might just produce an unexpectedly spirited performance.

Southampton vs. Crystal Palace betting tips

Crystal Palace to Win (4/6)

Crystal Palace @ Southampton

Southampton's home form has been dreadful with 11 losses in their last 12 matches across all competitions.

Crystal Palace arrive in tremendous form having won seven of their last eight games in all competitions.

The Eagles have been flying high under Oliver Glasner, showing remarkable improvement in both attack and defense.

Southampton's relegation struggles continue as they've failed to gain any meaningful momentum at St. Mary's.

Palace's confidence and superior quality should prove too much for the struggling Saints in this midweek Premier League clash.

Crystal Palace to Win 2-1 (8/1)

Crystal Palace @ Southampton

Southampton have shown defensive fragility at home, conceding multiple goals in eight of their last nine league fixtures.

Palace have found their scoring touch on the road, netting at least twice in seven of their last nine Premier League away matches.

The Saints have managed to score against strong opposition recently, including Liverpool and Newcastle.

This suggests Southampton could grab a consolation goal despite their overall struggles.

A 2-1 away victory represents excellent value while acknowledging Southampton's ability to trouble the scoresheet.

Ismaila Sarr To Score Anytime (11/5)

Crystal Palace @ Southampton

Sarr has been in sensational scoring form, netting four goals in his last four competitive appearances for Palace.

The winger demonstrated his poaching abilities with a close-range header against Fulham at the weekend.

His intelligent movement into goalscoring positions suggests this scoring run is no mere coincidence.

Southampton's defensive woes provide the perfect opportunity for Sarr to extend his impressive scoring streak.

At these odds, Sarr represents tremendous value given his current confidence and Southampton's leaky defence.

Key stats

1
Southampton are bottom of the league with only 9 points from 29 matches, having lost their last 5 matches in a row
2
Crystal Palace sit 12th with 39 points and have strong recent form of WWWLW, winning 4 of their last 5 matches
3
Southampton have the worst defensive record in the league, conceding 70 goals while scoring only 21
4
Despite playing one fewer match, Crystal Palace have 30 more points than Southampton and a goal difference of +3 compared to Southampton's -49