Southampton's five-game losing streak has left them teetering on the brink of relegation, with Paul Onuachu possibly getting the nod up front to spark some life into a side that's leaked 17 goals in their last six matches.
Crystal Palace, meanwhile, arrive at St. Mary's riding a three-game Premier League winning streak and fresh off an impressive FA Cup quarter-final triumph over Fulham, with talisman Eberechi Eze likely to cause problems for a fragile Saints defense.
Recent history doesn't bode well for the struggling hosts, as the last time these teams met at this ground, Southampton 0-2 Crystal Palace was the final scoreline.
Southampton vs. Crystal Palace prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Southampton vs Crystal Palace matchup, our predictive model gives the Palace a 75% chance of defeating the Saints.
Pre-game probabilities
Crystal Palace
Moneyline
Win %
75%
25%
Southampton
Crystal Palace: 75% win probability
- Strong recent form (WWWLW) with 3 wins in their last 5 matches
- Solid defensive record (33 goals conceded in 28 matches, ranking among the better defenses in the league)
- Higher league position (12th with 39 points compared to Southampton's 20th with just 9 points)
Southampton: 25% win probability
- Dreadful recent form (LLLLL) with 5 consecutive losses
- League-worst defensive record (70 goals conceded in 29 matches)
- Lowest points total in the league (9 points from just 2 wins in 29 matches)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts..
| Southampton | Crystal Palace | Draw | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result |
Southampton vs. Crystal Palace preview
Southampton welcome Crystal Palace to St Mary's desperately seeking to halt their nightmare run of five straight league defeats, with the Saints looking like dead men walking in their fight against relegation.
The home side's leaky defense has been their undoing, shipping a whopping 17 goals in their last six matches, while they haven't tasted victory in front of their own fans for nine painful league outings.
In stark contrast, Palace are flying high on a three-game Premier League winning streak and fresh off a dominant 3-0 FA Cup demolition of Fulham, where Eberechi Eze continued his electric form.
The Eagles' away form makes for ominous reading for Southampton supporters—they're unbeaten in their last nine league matches on the road and haven't lost at St Mary's in their previous two visits.
Paul Onuachu offers a glimmer of hope for the hosts after finding the net last time out, but Saints boss Ivan Jurić will need to plan without several injured players including Ross Stewart and Ryan Fraser.
Palace will miss the services of Joel Ward, Cheick Doucouré and Chadi Riad, though their attacking unit looks more than capable of causing damage against this porous Southampton backline.
History doesn't favor the home side either, with Palace winning four of their last five head-to-head encounters, including a 2-1 victory in their most recent meeting in December.
Given the contrasting trajectories of both sides, it's hard to see past another away win for Oliver Glasner's men, though Southampton's fight for survival might just produce an unexpectedly spirited performance.
Southampton vs. Crystal Palace form
Southampton vs. Crystal Palace head to head
Southampton
20%
Crystal Palace
80%
Dec 29, 2024
Crystal Palace
2 : 1
Southampton
Apr 15, 2023
Southampton
0 : 2
Crystal Palace
Jan 7, 2023
Crystal Palace
1 : 2
Southampton
Oct 29, 2022
Crystal Palace
1 : 0
Southampton
Apr 30, 2022
Southampton
1 : 2
Crystal Palace
Dec 15, 2021
Crystal Palace
2 : 2
Southampton
