With West Ham suffering eight losses in their 15 home fixtures this season, they'll need to dig deep against a Bournemouth side who've been formidable on the road, collecting more away points than all but four Premier League teams.
The Hammers, struggling to find the net with only 33 goals this campaign, face a Cherries squad that's won the expected goals battle in their last three league matches despite collecting just one point.
All eyes will be on returning Bournemouth star Justin Kluivert, who's bagged 12 league goals already this term, as West Ham's shaky backline braces for a challenging afternoon when the home team welcomes the away team to the London Stadium.
West Ham vs. Bournemouth prediction: who will win?
For today's West Ham vs Bournemouth matchup, our predictive model gives the Cherries a 70% chance of defeating the Hammers.
Pre-game probabilities
Bournemouth
Moneyline
Win %
70%
30%
West Ham
Bournemouth: 70% win probability
- Superior goal scoring (49 goals scored this season, ranking them 7th in the league)
- Better league position (10th with 44 points compared to West Ham's 16th)
- More consistent results (Only 10 losses compared to West Ham's 14)
West Ham: 30% win probability
- Poor defensive record (50 goals conceded, 3rd worst among mid-table teams)
- Inconsistent recent form (LDLWW shows inability to string together results)
- Struggling attack (Only 33 goals scored, significantly fewer than Bournemouth's 49)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts..
| West Ham | Bournemouth | Draw | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result |
West Ham vs. Bournemouth preview
West Ham host Bournemouth this weekend in what promises to be a telling clash between two sides heading in opposite trajectories.
The Hammers have hit a rough patch under Graham Potter, taking just one point from their last three fixtures and suffering their eighth home defeat of the season to Wolves last time out.
Bournemouth themselves are winless in seven but have been desperately unlucky, winning the expected goals battle in their last three matches despite collecting just a single point.
The visitors' away form has been spectacular this term – only the top three and Newcastle have picked up more points on their travels – which could spell trouble for a West Ham side that's been woeful at the London Stadium.
Justin Kluivert's return from injury offers a massive boost to Andoni Iraola's men, with the Dutchman having netted 12 league goals this campaign while serving as their designated penalty taker.
The Cherries will need to cope without Adam Smith, Luis Sinisterra and Enes Ünal, while West Ham can only call upon a near full-strength squad with just Michail Antonio sidelined with a broken leg.
Recent history favors the hosts, who haven't lost to Bournemouth in their last seven league encounters, though they've failed to beat them in their previous three.
I fancy Bournemouth to nick this one 2-1, potentially keeping their European qualification hopes alive while deepening West Ham's home discomfort.
West Ham vs. Bournemouth form
West Ham vs. Bournemouth head to head
West Ham
100%
Bournemouth
0%
Dec 16, 2024
Bournemouth
1 : 1
West Ham
Aug 28, 2024
West Ham
1 : 0
Bournemouth
Feb 1, 2024
West Ham
1 : 1
Bournemouth
Aug 12, 2023
Bournemouth
1 : 1
West Ham
Apr 23, 2023
Bournemouth
0 : 4
West Ham
Oct 24, 2022
West Ham
2 : 0
Bournemouth
