With Tottenham winless in their last two home league games and Southampton showing signs of life in their 1-1 midweek draw with Crystal Palace, Sunday's clash at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium presents an intriguing matchup despite the gap in league positions.
Ange Postecoglou may rotate his squad with an eye on the upcoming Frankfurt fixture, while the Saints' away record - having lost 12 of their 15 Premier League road games - suggests they face an uphill battle despite finding the net in their last three outings.
The history between these sides favors the hosts with Spurs unbeaten in their last three league encounters against Southampton, including a dominant 5-0 victory in their most recent meeting back in December.
Tottenham vs. Southampton prediction: who will win?
For today's Tottenham vs Southampton matchup, our predictive model gives the Spurs a 81.67% chance of defeating the Saints.
Pre-game probabilities
Tottenham
Moneyline
Win %
81.67%
18.33%
Southampton
Tottenham: 81.67% win probability
- Superior attacking prowess (55 goals scored compared to Southampton's 22)
- Better defensive record (44 goals conceded versus Southampton's 71)
- Recent upward trend with a win in their last five matches (LLDLW form)
Southampton: 18.33% win probability
- League-worst defensive record (71 goals conceded in 30 matches)
- Dismal recent form with five consecutive defeats (DLLLL)
- Lowest points total in the league (10 points from 30 matches, winning only 2 games)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts..
| Tottenham | Southampton | Draw | |
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Tottenham vs. Southampton preview
Tottenham desperately need to right the ship as they welcome bottom-dwellers Southampton to North London this Sunday following their disappointing 1-0 defeat to Chelsea at Stamford Bridge.
Spurs, who've gone seven matches without a clean sheet, will likely rotate their squad with one eye on next week's European clash against Eintracht Frankfurt, giving youngster Mathys Tel a genuine opportunity to shine after his recent brace for France's U21s.
The Saints finally stopped their dismal six-game losing streak with a midweek draw against Crystal Palace, though they'll feel gutted after conceding a 92nd-minute equalizer.
History favors the home side, with Spurs unbeaten in their last three league meetings against Southampton, including a ruthless 5-0 demolition in their previous encounter where James Maddison bagged a brace.
Despite their recent wobbles, Tottenham have managed three wins from their last five home games, while Southampton's away form has been abysmal with just one victory in their last 15 Premier League road trips.
Brennan Johnson is expected to return to Spurs' starting lineup, offering fresh attacking impetus against a Saints defense that's leaked 31 goals in 15 away fixtures this season.
With Southampton scoring in each of their last three matches but struggling to keep opponents at bay, we could witness action at both ends of the pitch even with Spurs fielding a changed side.
The combination of Tottenham's home advantage against the league's basement club suggests the hosts should ultimately have too much firepower, though don't be shocked if the plucky visitors find the net in what remains a must-win fixture for Postecoglou's men.
Tottenham vs. Southampton form
Tottenham vs. Southampton head to head
Tottenham
75%
Southampton
25%
Dec 15, 2024
Southampton
0 : 5
Tottenham
Mar 18, 2023
Southampton
3 : 3
Tottenham
Aug 6, 2022
Tottenham
4 : 1
Southampton
Feb 9, 2022
Tottenham
2 : 3
Southampton
Dec 28, 2021
Southampton
1 : 1
Tottenham
Apr 21, 2021
Tottenham
2 : 1
Southampton
