Fresh off their stunning 3-0 Champions League victory over Real Madrid, Arsenal welcome a resurgent Brentford side that has transformed into road warriors with five wins in their last six away fixtures.
The Gunners' title hopes hang in the balance despite boasting the league's tightest defense, while the Bees' newfound attacking confidence on their travels could pose problems for a potentially complacent Arsenal squad.
All eyes will be on Mikel Merino's goal-scoring streak as Arsenal vs Brentford shapes up to be another fiery London derby at the Emirates.
Arsenal vs. Brentford prediction: who will win?
For today's Arsenal vs Brentford matchup, our predictive model gives the Gunners an 80% chance of defeating the Bees.
Pre-game probabilities
Arsenal
Moneyline
Win %
80%
20%
Brentford
Arsenal: 80% win probability
- Strong league position (2nd place with 62 points from 31 matches)
- Formidable defense (Only 26 goals conceded, second-best in the league)
- Excellent recent form (DWWDD - unbeaten in last five matches)
Brentford: 20% win probability
- Poor away form (Recent form DLWLD shows inconsistency)
- Defensive vulnerability (47 goals conceded, significantly more than Arsenal's 26)
- Position disparity (12th place with 42 points compared to Arsenal's 2nd place with 62 points)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts.
Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts.
| Arsenal | Brentford | Draw | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result |
Arsenal vs. Brentford preview
Arsenal face another must-win situation against local rivals Brentford this Saturday evening as they aim to keep their title hopes alive despite trailing Liverpool by 11 points in the Premier League standings.
The Gunners come into this London derby buzzing after a stunning 3-0 Champions League victory against Real Madrid, where Declan Rice scored twice and Mikel Merino continued his impressive goalscoring form at the Emirates.
Brentford's recent away form suggests they won't be pushovers – they've won five of their last six league matches on the road after a dreadful start to their away campaign.
Arsenal's defensive record is the best in the Premier League, but their 11 draws this season have cost them dearly in the title race.
The injury list remains a concern for Mikel Arteta with Havertz, Gabriel, Jesus, and Calafiori sidelined, though the return of Bukayo Saka from his long-term injury provides a significant boost.
Thomas Frank's Bees will likely fancy their chances of scoring, having found the net in six of their nine away fixtures during their early-season struggles, but Arsenal have been dominant in recent head-to-head meetings, winning five of their last six clashes.
Mikel Merino could be the one to watch – the Spanish midfielder has now scored in three consecutive home matches and appears to be thriving in a more advanced role for the Gunners.
While Arsenal should have enough quality to secure three points, don't be surprised if Brentford make this London derby more competitive than the form book might suggest.
Arsenal vs. Brentford form
Arsenal vs. Brentford head to head
Arsenal
100%
Brentford
0%
Jan 1, 2025
Brentford
1 : 3
Arsenal
Mar 9, 2024
Arsenal
2 : 1
Brentford
Nov 25, 2023
Brentford
0 : 1
Arsenal
Sep 27, 2023
Brentford
0 : 1
Arsenal
Feb 11, 2023
Arsenal
1 : 1
Brentford
Sep 18, 2022
Brentford
0 : 3
Arsenal
