Nottingham Forest's pursuit of Champions League football faces its next test when they welcome an Everton side mired in a six-game winless streak to the City Ground this Saturday.
The return of key striker Chris Wood from injury provides a massive boost for the hosts, who are hunting their third consecutive home victory, while Everton's campaign continues to unravel with several key absentees including Dominic Calvert-Lewin and Jesper Lindstrøm.
Recent history between these clubs points to a tight affair—they've split their last six meetings evenly with two wins each—but the contrast in current form couldn't be starker as Nottingham Forest vs Everton shapes up to be a clash between European ambition and Premier League survival.
Nottingham vs. Everton prediction: who will win?
For today's Nottingham vs Everton matchup, our predictive model gives the Forest a 77.5% chance of defeating the Toffees.
Pre-game probabilities
Nottingham
Moneyline
Win %
77.5%
22.5%
Everton
Nottingham: 77.5% win probability
- Impressive league position (3rd place with 57 points compared to Everton's 15th)
- Exceptional recent form (LWWWD - won 3 of last 5 matches)
- Superior scoring capability (51 goals scored versus Everton's 33)
Everton: 22.5% win probability
- Poor recent form (DLDDD - no wins in last 5 matches)
- Struggles to convert chances (only 33 goals all season - 3rd lowest in league)
- Away side disadvantage (facing 3rd placed team on their home ground)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts..
| Nottingham | Everton | Draw | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result |
Nottingham vs. Everton preview
Nottingham Forest host Everton at the City Ground this Saturday with Champions League ambitions still flickering for Nuno Espírito Santo's men despite their recent 2-1 stumble against Aston Villa.
The Reds have been absolutely immense at home lately, going nine league matches unbeaten and gunning for a third straight win on their own patch, while David Moyes' Toffees seem stuck in a proper rut with six Premier League games without victory.
Forest fans will breathe a sigh of relief knowing key striker Chris Wood has shaken off his injury concerns - the same bloke who found the net when these sides last met in December's 2-0 Forest triumph at Goodison.
Everton's treatment room remains crowded with Calvert-Lewin, Lindstrøm, Mykolenko and Mangala all ruled out, leaving Beto and Ndiaye - who scored against Arsenal last time out - to lead their struggling attack.
The visitors' away form makes for grim reading, with no wins in their last three road trips, though they can take some comfort from a decent historical record at Forest where they haven't lost in their last four league visits.
Morgan Gibbs-White will be the man to watch for the hosts, having also scored in their December meeting and continuing to pull strings from his advanced midfield role.
With little at stake for mid-table Everton while Forest chase European football, there's a real sense the home side's motivation could prove decisive in what promises to be a tightly-contested affair.
Given the Reds' impressive home record and Everton's injury troubles, don't be shocked if Forest edge this one by the narrowest of margins, with the City Ground faithful potentially celebrating another step toward an unlikely Champions League dream.
Nottingham vs. Everton form
Nottingham vs. Everton head to head
Nottingham
50%
Everton
50%
Dec 29, 2024
Everton
0 : 2
Nottingham
Apr 21, 2024
Everton
2 : 0
Nottingham
Dec 2, 2023
Nottingham
0 : 1
Everton
Mar 5, 2023
Nottingham
2 : 2
Everton
Aug 20, 2022
Everton
1 : 1
Nottingham
Jan 29, 1999
Everton
0 : 1
Nottingham
