Brentford welcome Brighton to the Gtech Community Stadium on Saturday in what promises to be a tightly contested Premier League mid-table clash between two evenly matched sides.
The Bees enter with momentum after holding Arsenal to a 1-1 draw last weekend, while Brighton aim to snap a five-match winless streak despite collecting draws in three of those fixtures.
With both teams having shown a penchant for stalemates this season—Brighton racking up 12 draws already—and their December meeting ending scoreless, expect an entertaining battle where goals from in-form strikers like Yoane Wissa could prove decisive.
Brentford vs. Brighton prediction: who will win?
For today's Brentford vs Brighton matchup, our predictive model gives the Seagulls a 54% chance of defeating the Bees.
Pre-game probabilities
Brighton
Moneyline
Win %
54%
46%
Brentford
Brighton: 54% win probability
- Superior ball control reflected in their league position (10th with 48 points compared to Brentford's 11th with 43 points)
- Strong attacking threat with 51 goals scored this season (only one fewer than Brentford's 52, despite maintaining a higher league position)
- Excellent resilience shown by their 12 draws this season (joint highest in the league, demonstrating ability to avoid defeat in tight matches)
Brentford: 46% win probability
- Poor recent form (DDLWL) with only one win in their last five matches
- Defensive vulnerability having conceded 48 goals this season (worse than 10 other Premier League teams)
- Inconsistent home performances contributing to 13 losses overall (worse than Brighton's 8 defeats)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts..
| Brentford | Brighton | Draw | |
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Brentford vs. Brighton preview
Brentford enter this clash at the Gtech Community Stadium with growing momentum, having secured impressive draws against London rivals Arsenal and Chelsea, with Yoane Wissa's clinical finish at the Emirates highlighting his remarkable 15-goal Premier League campaign.
Brighton arrive desperate to snap a five-game winless streak, though their tally of 12 league draws this season suggests they're nothing if not resilient.
The reverse fixture in December ended in a goalless stalemate, but with both teams having scored freely throughout the campaign – Brighton finding the net in 22 of their 32 league games – expect a more entertaining spectacle this time around.
Neither side has much to play for beyond mid-table pride, sitting comfortably away from relegation concerns but with European qualification increasingly unlikely.
The injury list could prove significant, with Brentford missing Igor Thiago, Josh Dasilva and Fábio Carvalho, while Brighton are without six key players including Tariq Lamptey and Georginio Rutter.
Recent history between these sides has produced tightly contested affairs with goals at both ends, setting the stage for what should be one of Saturday's more intriguing Premier League matchups.
Brentford vs. Brighton form
Brentford vs. Brighton head to head
Brentford
33%
Brighton
67%
Dec 27, 2024
Brighton
0 : 0
Brentford
Apr 3, 2024
Brentford
0 : 0
Brighton
Dec 6, 2023
Brighton
2 : 1
Brentford
Apr 1, 2023
Brighton
3 : 3
Brentford
Oct 14, 2022
Brentford
2 : 0
Brighton
Dec 26, 2021
Brighton
2 : 0
Brentford
