Crystal Palace welcome Bournemouth to Selhurst Park this Saturday in a Premier League clash that pits the defensively vulnerable Eagles against the statistically unlucky Cherries.
Palace enter the fixture reeling from consecutive heavy defeats, shipping 10 goals across losses to Manchester City and Newcastle, while Bournemouth arrive with renewed confidence after snapping their seven-game winless run with a hard-fought victory over Fulham.
With the Eagles looking to regain momentum before their FA Cup semi-final and Bournemouth pushing for European qualification, this evenly-matched contest could see both teams find the net in what history suggests will be a tight affair.
Crystal Palace vs. Bournemouth prediction: who will win?
For today's Crystal Palace vs Bournemouth matchup, our predictive model gives the Cherries a 70% chance of defeating the Eagles.
Pre-game probabilities
Bournemouth
Moneyline
Win %
70%
30%
Crystal Palace
Bournemouth: 70% win probability
- Impressive recent form (WDLLD) with 3 wins in their last 5 matches (Supporting statistic)
- Strong offensive output with 52 goals scored this season, the 8th best attack in the league (Supporting statistic)
- Higher league position at 8th place with 48 points compared to Palace's 12th (Supporting statistic)
Crystal Palace: 30% win probability
- Inconsistent recent form (LLWDW) with only 1 win in their last 5 matches (Supporting statistic)
- Less clinical in attack with 41 goals scored, 11 fewer than Bournemouth this season (Supporting statistic)
- Poor defensive record having conceded 45 goals, leaving them with a negative goal difference (-4) compared to Bournemouth's positive record (+12) (Supporting statistic)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts..
| Crystal Palace | Bournemouth | Draw | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result |
Crystal Palace vs. Bournemouth preview
Crystal Palace are desperate to halt their alarming defensive slide after shipping ten goals across consecutive defeats to Manchester City and Newcastle, with Oliver Glasner needing a swift turnaround before next week's FA Cup semi-final showdown with Aston Villa at Wembley.
The Eagles' usually reliable home form – they've won their last four at Selhurst Park – faces a stern test from a Bournemouth side who have lost just one of their last ten Premier League away matches and who snapped their seven-game winless streak with a resilient 1-0 victory over Fulham on Monday.
Andoni Iraola's Cherries continue to impress with their underlying metrics suggesting they're actually performing at top-four level, sitting third in the expected points table despite residing eighth in the actual standings.
Brazilian forward Evanilson has returned from injury with impressive form, scoring four of Bournemouth's last five goals, while Palace will hope Eberechi Eze can bounce back after his costly penalty miss at Newcastle.
Palace have struggled against the Cherries recently, failing to win any of their last three meetings, with tight, low-scoring affairs being the norm when these sides clash – none of their previous eight encounters have produced more than 2.5 goals.
With Palace potentially distracted by their upcoming cup semi-final and Bournemouth showing genuine European ambitions, Saturday's clash could provide the perfect opportunity for the visitors to capitalize on the Eagles' defensive frailties.
Crystal Palace vs. Bournemouth form
Crystal Palace vs. Bournemouth head to head
Crystal Palace
50%
Bournemouth
50%
Dec 26, 2024
Bournemouth
0 : 0
Crystal Palace
Apr 2, 2024
Bournemouth
1 : 0
Crystal Palace
Dec 6, 2023
Crystal Palace
0 : 2
Bournemouth
May 13, 2023
Crystal Palace
2 : 0
Bournemouth
Dec 31, 2022
Bournemouth
0 : 2
Crystal Palace
Sep 15, 2020
Bournemouth
0 : 0
Crystal Palace
