Manchester City's defensive vulnerabilities could be exposed as they travel to face an improving Everton side that has lost just one of their last 12 Premier League matches.
David Moyes has transformed the Toffees into a resilient unit, taking points off several top sides and remaining unbeaten at Goodison Park since early February.
With City struggling to keep clean sheets recently and showing cracks in their high defensive line, Everton could be well-positioned to extend their impressive run of form in what promises to be a compelling contest.
Everton vs. Manchester City prediction: who will win?
For today's Everton vs Manchester City matchup, our predictive model gives City a 75% chance of defeating the Toffees.
Pre-game probabilities
Manchester City
Moneyline
Win %
75%
25%
Everton
Manchester City: 75% win probability
- Potent attack (62 goals scored this season, 5th highest in the league)
- Strong goal differential (+20, significantly better than Everton's -4)
- Consistent point-gathering (55 points from 32 matches, placing them 5th in the table)
Everton: 25% win probability
- Struggling offense (only 34 goals scored, 5th lowest in the league)
- Poor home form (recent form shows WDLDD with many dropped points)
- Difficulty securing victories (only 8 wins from 32 matches, compared to City's 16)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts..
| Everton | Manchester City | Draw | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result |
Everton vs. Manchester City preview
Everton's remarkable resilience under David Moyes faces its sternest test yet as Manchester City visit Goodison Park this weekend, with the Toffees having lost just once in their last 12 Premier League outings despite struggling to convert draws into wins.
The Citizens arrive showing uncharacteristic defensive vulnerability, conceding early against Crystal Palace last weekend before mounting an impressive comeback spearheaded by Kevin De Bruyne - though their high defensive line continues to present opportunities for opponents.
Iliman Ndiaye remains Everton's greatest threat with seven Premier League goals this season, while City must cope without several key players including Erling Haaland, Rodri and Ederson.
Moyes has transformed Everton into a defensively stubborn outfit, taking points from Liverpool, Manchester United and Arsenal in recent months, before securing a morale-boosting 1-0 victory over Nottingham Forest last time out.
History weighs heavily against the hosts, who haven't beaten City in their previous 15 league encounters, yet their defensive solidity under Moyes suggests they could frustrate Guardiola's injury-depleted squad.
With five of Everton's last seven league games ending in draws and City keeping just one clean sheet in their last seven outings, this battle between Merseyside grit and Manchester flair could prove far tighter than the form book suggests.
Everton vs. Manchester City form
Everton vs. Manchester City head to head
Everton
0%
Manchester City
100%
Dec 26, 2024
Manchester City
1 : 1
Everton
Feb 10, 2024
Manchester City
2 : 0
Everton
Dec 27, 2023
Everton
1 : 3
Manchester City
May 14, 2023
Everton
0 : 3
Manchester City
Dec 31, 2022
Manchester City
1 : 1
Everton
Feb 26, 2022
Everton
0 : 1
Manchester City
