West Ham United look to overcome their recent defensive struggles when they host relegation-confirmed Southampton at the London Stadium this weekend.
The Hammers, winless in their last two home league matches, will fancy their chances against a Saints side that has conceded 16 goals in their last six games and picked up just five points on their travels all season.
With Jarrod Bowen leading the attack and Southampton still showing some attacking threat despite their confirmed drop, fans could be in for an entertaining contest with goals at both ends.
West Ham vs. Southampton prediction: who will win?
For today's West Ham vs Southampton matchup, our predictive model gives the Hammers a 75% chance of defeating the Saints.
Pre-game probabilities
West Ham
Moneyline
Win %
75%
25%
Southampton
West Ham: 75% win probability
- Superior offensive capability (36 goals scored compared to Southampton's 23)
- Better defensive record (54 goals conceded versus Southampton's 77)
- Higher points tally (35 points from 9 wins and 8 draws, compared to Southampton's 10 points)
Southampton: 25% win probability
- Poor recent form (LLDLL in their last five matches)
- Weakest defensive record in the league (77 goals conceded in 32 matches)
- Lowest win rate in the league (only 2 wins from 32 matches played)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts..
| West Ham | Southampton | Draw | |
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West Ham vs. Southampton preview
West Ham will be desperate to snap their winless streak at home when they host relegation-confirmed Southampton at the London Stadium this weekend.
The Hammers showed fighting spirit in their narrow 2-1 defeat to Liverpool last time out, while Southampton's woes deepened after being dismantled 3-0 by Aston Villa - their 26th defeat of a disastrous campaign.
Graham Potter faces selection headaches with Michail Antonio's broken leg adding to injuries for Aaron Cresswell and summer signing Crysencio Summerville.
Despite their struggles, West Ham have historically matched up well against the Saints, having gone unbeaten in their last three league encounters, including a 1-0 victory at St Mary's earlier this season courtesy of Jarrod Bowen.
Southampton's defensive frailties have been brutally exposed all season, shipping 16 goals in their last six matches, though they had found the net in four consecutive games before drawing a blank against Villa.
In-form Bowen looks the most likely to capitalize on the visitors' porous defense, having already notched eight Premier League goals this term while leading the Hammers' attack.
West Ham vs. Southampton form
West Ham vs. Southampton head to head
West Ham
50%
Southampton
50%
Dec 26, 2024
Southampton
0 : 1
West Ham
Apr 2, 2023
West Ham
1 : 0
Southampton
Oct 16, 2022
Southampton
1 : 1
West Ham
Mar 2, 2022
Southampton
3 : 1
West Ham
Dec 26, 2021
West Ham
2 : 3
Southampton
Sep 11, 2021
Southampton
0 : 0
West Ham
