The London derby between Fulham and Chelsea promises fireworks as both sides look to bounce back from disappointing recent results, with the Cottagers coming off a 1-0 loss to Bournemouth despite dominating possession and Chelsea dropping points in a 2-2 draw with relegation-threatened Ipswich Town.
Recent history favors an exciting clash with goals on both sides, as Fulham claimed a surprise 2-1 victory at Stamford Bridge earlier this season while Chelsea's defense has shown promise despite their inconsistent away form.
Fulham vs. Chelsea prediction: who will win?
For today's Fulham vs Chelsea matchup, our predictive model gives the Blues a 57% chance of defeating the Cottagers.
Pre-game probabilities
Chelsea
Moneyline
Win %
57%
43%
Fulham
Chelsea: 57% win probability
- Superior offensive output (56 goals scored compared to Fulham's 47)
- Better defensive record (39 goals conceded vs 43 for Fulham)
- Higher league position (7th with 54 points compared to Fulham's 9th with 48 points)
Fulham: 43% win probability
- Inconsistent recent form (LWLWL indicates a struggle to string together consecutive wins)
- Less clinical in attack (47 goals scored, 9 fewer than Chelsea's 56)
- Poor momentum heading into match (recent form shows 3 losses in last 5 matches)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts..
| Fulham | Chelsea | Draw | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result |
Fulham vs. Chelsea preview
Fulham welcome Chelsea to Craven Cottage for a fiery West London derby this Sunday, with both sides desperate to bounce back from disappointing results.
The Cottagers failed to capitalize on their dominance against Bournemouth despite registering seven shots on target, while Chelsea surprisingly dropped points at home to relegation-threatened Ipswich before suffering a shock European defeat to Legia Warsaw.
Marco Silva might recall Raúl Jiménez to lead the line alongside in-form Rodrigo Muniz, who scored in Fulham's surprise 2-1 victory at Stamford Bridge earlier this season.
Chelsea's defensive solidity has been their saving grace recently, conceding just three goals in their last six outings, though their concerning eight-game winless streak away from home threatens to undermine Enzo Maresca's progress.
Cole Palmer remains the Blues' creative heartbeat but will face a Fulham side that's been formidable at the Cottage, where they're unbeaten in their last two league matches.
With both teams struggling for consistency yet capable of moments of brilliance, this cross-city clash has all the ingredients for a tense, evenly-matched affair where defensive organization could ultimately determine which side takes the bragging rights.
Fulham vs. Chelsea form
Fulham vs. Chelsea head to head
Fulham
40%
Chelsea
60%
Dec 26, 2024
Chelsea
1 : 2
Fulham
Jan 13, 2024
Chelsea
1 : 0
Fulham
Oct 2, 2023
Fulham
0 : 2
Chelsea
Feb 3, 2023
Chelsea
0 : 0
Fulham
Jan 12, 2023
Fulham
2 : 1
Chelsea
May 1, 2021
Chelsea
2 : 0
Fulham
