Liverpool's title hopes continue as they face a Leicester City side desperate to break a dismal home record that has seen them lose eight consecutive league matches without scoring a single goal.
The Foxes finally ended their seven-game scoring drought in last week's 2-2 draw with Brighton, but face a formidable Liverpool team who can move closer to Premier League glory with three points at the King Power Stadium.
With Luis Diaz in scintillating form—scoring four goals in his last five appearances—the Reds are looking to capitalize on Leicester's defensive frailties while potentially moving one step closer to being crowned champions.
Leicester vs. Liverpool prediction: who will win?
For today's Leicester vs Liverpool matchup, our predictive model gives the Reds a 85% chance of defeating the Foxes.
Pre-game probabilities
Liverpool
Moneyline
Win %
85%
15%
Leicester
Liverpool: 85% win probability
- Dominant league position (Top of the table with 76 points from 32 matches)
- Exceptional attacking threat (74 goals scored, the highest in the league)
- Outstanding recent form (Won 4 of their last 5 matches - WLWWW)
Leicester: 15% win probability
- Struggling defensively (72 goals conceded, second-worst in the league)
- Poor overall form (DLLLL, lost 4 of their last 5 matches)
- Relegation position (19th in the table with just 4 wins from 32 matches)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts..
| Leicester | Liverpool | Draw | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result |
Leicester vs. Liverpool preview
Liverpool's title quest continues at the King Power Stadium where they face a Leicester City side in freefall, having lost eight consecutive home games without scoring a single goal.
The Foxes briefly ended their scoring drought in a 2-2 draw at Brighton last weekend, but their league position looks increasingly desperate after failing to secure a home win in their last nine attempts.
Luis Díaz arrives in red-hot form with four goals in his last five appearances, posing a significant threat to a Leicester defense that has been routinely dismantled on home soil.
The reverse fixture saw Liverpool comfortably handle Leicester 3-1, and Arne Slot's men will be eyeing another comprehensive victory despite some recent inconsistency in their performances.
While the Reds need an unlikely Ipswich win over Arsenal to confirm the title this weekend, they'll be focused on maintaining their advantage at the summit against a Leicester side that has conceded multiple goals in each of their recent home defeats.
Ruud van Nistelrooy faces selection headaches with Fatawu and Souttar sidelined, while Liverpool will be without Tyler Morton and Joe Gomez for a clash that could further cement the contrasting trajectories of these two clubs.
Leicester vs. Liverpool form
Leicester vs. Liverpool head to head
Leicester
17%
Liverpool
83%
Dec 26, 2024
Liverpool
3 : 1
Leicester
Sep 27, 2023
Liverpool
3 : 1
Leicester
May 15, 2023
Leicester
0 : 3
Liverpool
Dec 30, 2022
Liverpool
2 : 1
Leicester
Feb 10, 2022
Liverpool
2 : 0
Leicester
Dec 28, 2021
Leicester
1 : 0
Liverpool
