Arsenal look to maintain their impressive run of form as they host Crystal Palace at the Emirates Stadium in what promises to be an intriguing London derby on April 23rd.
The Gunners enter the matchup with confidence after dispatching Ipswich Town 4-0, while Palace struggle away from home having conceded five goals in each of their last two road fixtures.
With Arsenal winning their last six encounters against the Eagles and scoring 20 goals in the process, Mikel Arteta's side appears poised to continue their dominance despite missing several key players through injury.
Arsenal vs. Crystal Palace prediction: who will win?
For today's Arsenal vs Crystal Palace matchup, our predictive model gives the Gunners a 85% chance of defeating the Eagles.
Pre-game probabilities
Arsenal
Moneyline
Win %
85%
15%
Crystal Palace
Arsenal: 85% win probability
- Strong home form (2nd in league with 66 points from 33 matches)
- Defensive stability (2nd best defence with only 27 goals conceded in 33 matches)
- Consistent results (12 draws, fewest losses among top teams with just 3)
Crystal Palace: 15% win probability
- Poor recent form (DLLWD shows inconsistency in their last 5 matches)
- Struggles against top teams (sitting 12th in the table with 44 points)
- Defensive vulnerabilities (conceded 45 goals, significantly more than Arsenal's 27)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts..
| Arsenal | Crystal Palace | Draw | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result |
Arsenal vs. Crystal Palace preview
Arsenal welcome Crystal Palace to the Emirates Stadium for a London derby where recent history heavily favors the Gunners, who've won their last six encounters while netting a remarkable 20 goals against the Eagles.
Mikel Arteta's men enter this fixture in formidable form, unbeaten in 11 competitive matches and fresh off a commanding 4-0 dismantling of Ipswich Town where Leandro Trossard continued his hot streak with a clinical brace.
Palace, meanwhile, appear to be limping toward the season's finish line, having been thrashed 5-0 at Newcastle recently and failing to register a single shot on target in their goalless draw with Bournemouth.
The Eagles' defensive woes are compounded by Chris Richards' suspension following his red card against the Cherries, giving Trossard and Martinelli ample opportunity to exploit a backline that's leaked five goals in each of their last two Premier League games against Arsenal.
While the Gunners' title hopes remain mathematically alive but realistically distant, Arteta will be keen to maintain momentum ahead of their upcoming Champions League semi-final, despite missing six key players including Gabriel Jesus, Kai Havertz, and Riccardo Calafiori through injury.
Arsenal vs. Crystal Palace form
Arsenal vs. Crystal Palace head to head
Arsenal
100%
Crystal Palace
0%
Dec 21, 2024
Crystal Palace
1 : 5
Arsenal
Dec 18, 2024
Arsenal
3 : 2
Crystal Palace
Jan 20, 2024
Arsenal
5 : 0
Crystal Palace
Aug 21, 2023
Crystal Palace
0 : 1
Arsenal
Mar 19, 2023
Arsenal
4 : 1
Crystal Palace
Aug 5, 2022
Crystal Palace
0 : 2
Arsenal
