Chelsea host Everton at Stamford Bridge this Saturday in a clash that could prove pivotal to their Champions League ambitions, with the Blues having little margin for error in the race for a top-five finish.
Enzo Maresca's side, who have won just two of their last five Premier League games, face a stubborn Everton team that has established themselves as the league's draw specialists with 14 stalemates this season.
With Chelsea also keeping one eye on Thursday's Conference League semi-final against Djugarden, the Toffees—who have lost just twice in their last 13 league matches—could frustrate their hosts and potentially secure another valuable point.
Chelsea vs. Everton prediction: who will win?
For today's Chelsea vs Everton matchup, our predictive model gives the Blues an 85% chance of defeating the Toffees.
Pre-game probabilities
Chelsea
Moneyline
Win %
85%
15%
Everton
Chelsea: 85% win probability
- Superior recent form (WDDWL vs Everton's LWDLD showing Chelsea unbeaten in 4 of last 5)
- Better defensive record (40 goals conceded compared to Everton's 40 from the same number of matches)
- Higher league position (6th with 57 points vs Everton's 13th with 38 points)
Everton: 15% win probability
- Poor goal-scoring record (only 34 goals scored in 33 matches, significantly below the league average)
- Inconsistent results away from home (reflected in their LWDLD recent form)
- Excessive draws limiting point totals (14 draws in 33 matches, the most in the Premier League)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts..
| Chelsea | Everton | Draw | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result |
Chelsea vs. Everton preview
Chelsea face a potentially tricky test against draw specialists Everton at Stamford Bridge this Saturday, with Enzo Maresca's men needing maximum points to strengthen their top-five aspirations.
The Blues come into this fixture having snatched a dramatic late win at Fulham last time out, with teenager Tyrique George continuing his promising form by netting an 83rd-minute equalizer before Pedro Neto sealed the points in added time.
While Chelsea enjoy an impressive 29-match unbeaten home league record against the Toffees, their inconsistent form—winning just two of their last five Premier League outings—suggests this won't be straightforward.
David Moyes has made Everton notoriously difficult to break down this season, with the Merseysiders holding Chelsea to a goalless draw in December and taking points off Liverpool, Manchester United and Arsenal in recent months.
The visitors have proven particularly resilient in their last 13 league matches, losing only to Liverpool and Manchester City, though they'll need to improve their attacking output with Dominic Calvert-Lewin sidelined through a hamstring injury.
With Chelsea potentially having one eye on Thursday's Conference League semi-final against Djugarden, this has all the makings of another tight, cagey affair at the Bridge.
Chelsea vs. Everton form
Chelsea vs. Everton head to head
Chelsea
50%
Everton
50%
Dec 22, 2024
Everton
0 : 0
Chelsea
Apr 15, 2024
Chelsea
6 : 0
Everton
Dec 10, 2023
Everton
2 : 0
Chelsea
Mar 18, 2023
Chelsea
2 : 2
Everton
Aug 6, 2022
Everton
0 : 1
Chelsea
May 1, 2022
Everton
1 : 0
Chelsea
