Bournemouth welcome Manchester United to Vitality Stadium this Sunday with both teams desperate to return to winning ways after recent struggles.
The Cherries, winless in their last three matches but unbeaten against United in their previous three league encounters, will look to replicate their impressive 3-0 victory at Old Trafford earlier this season.
United's concerning form—collecting just one point from their last four league matches—presents a prime opportunity for Andoni Iraola's men to capitalize at home, though both sides are dealing with key injuries that could shape this potentially high-scoring affair.
Bournemouth vs. Manchester Utd prediction: who will win?
For today's Bournemouth vs Manchester United matchup, our predictive model gives the Cherries a 75% chance of defeating the Red Devils.
Pre-game probabilities
Bournemouth
Moneyline
Win %
75%
25%
Manchester Utd
Bournemouth: 75% win probability
- Impressive home form (Supporting statistic: 10th in the table with 49 points despite playing one fewer match than most teams)
- Superior goal-scoring ability (Supporting statistic: 52 goals scored compared to Man United's 38)
- Better defensive record (Supporting statistic: Conceded 40 goals versus United's 46)
Manchester Utd: 25% win probability
- Poor recent form (Supporting statistic: LLDLW with just one win in their last five matches)
- Struggling away performances (Supporting statistic: Currently 15th in the table with just 38 points from 33 games)
- Ineffective attack (Supporting statistic: Only 38 goals scored all season, ranking among the bottom half of Premier League teams)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts..
| Bournemouth | Manchester Utd | Draw | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result |
Bournemouth vs. Manchester Utd preview
Bournemouth welcome Manchester United to the Vitality Stadium with the home side unbeaten in their last three league encounters against the Red Devils, including a commanding 3-0 victory at Old Trafford back in December.
United's alarming slump continues with just one point from their last four matches, while Andoni Iraola's Cherries will be frustrated at failing to capitalize on their dominance against ten-man Crystal Palace last weekend.
Both sides are dealing with significant absences – Bournemouth missing creative spark Ryan Christie and striker Enes Ünal, while United's defensive woes continue with Martínez sidelined and Joshua Zirkzee unavailable in attack.
The hosts have shown impressive resilience at home this season with Evanilson and Justin Kluivert forming a dangerous attacking partnership that could again trouble a United defense that has shipped 12 goals in their last six outings.
Rúben Amorim will be hoping Bruno Fernandes can spark some creativity in midfield after being reintroduced to the starting lineup, though United's concerning away form – winless in their last two road games – suggests the Cherries will fancy their chances.
Bournemouth vs. Manchester Utd form
Bournemouth vs. Manchester Utd head to head
Bournemouth
40%
Manchester Utd
60%
Dec 22, 2024
Manchester Utd
0 : 3
Bournemouth
Apr 13, 2024
Bournemouth
2 : 2
Manchester Utd
Dec 9, 2023
Manchester Utd
0 : 3
Bournemouth
May 20, 2023
Bournemouth
0 : 1
Manchester Utd
Jan 3, 2023
Manchester Utd
3 : 0
Bournemouth
Jul 4, 2020
Manchester Utd
5 : 2
Bournemouth
