Nottingham Forest aim to bounce back from their FA Cup exit as they host Brentford in a crucial Premier League clash that could see them climb to third in the table with a victory.
The Reds have transformed their City Ground into a fortress this season, losing just once in their last 10 home league fixtures (W7, D2), while the mid-table Bees have little left to play for with just two wins from their last seven outings.
Nottingham vs. Brentford prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Nottingham vs Brentford matchup, our predictive model gives the Forest a 77.5% chance of defeating the Bees.
Pre-game probabilities
Nottingham
Moneyline
Win %
77.5%
22.5%
Brentford
Nottingham: 77.5% win probability
- Exceptional recent form (WLLWW indicates they've won 3 of their last 5 matches)
- Superior league position (6th place with 60 points compared to Brentford's 11th place)
- Strong defensive record (39 goals conceded in 33 matches, significantly better than Brentford's 50 goals conceded in 33 matches)
Brentford: 22.5% win probability
- Inconsistent recent form (WDDLW shows only 2 wins in their last 5 matches)
- Poor away performance (implied by their mid-table position despite decent goal-scoring)
- Defensive vulnerability (50 goals conceded in 33 matches, ranking them in the bottom half for defensive solidity)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts..
| Nottingham | Brentford | Draw | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result |
Nottingham vs. Brentford preview
Nottingham Forest's push for an improbable Champions League spot continues Thursday night as they welcome a Brentford side with little left to play for this season.
The Reds have turned the City Ground into a genuine fortress, losing just once in their last 10 home league fixtures while collecting 23 points from a possible 30 during that impressive run.
Chris Wood's remarkable campaign—19 goals in 31 league appearances—has been the driving force behind Forest's European ambitions, with the New Zealand striker looking to add to his tally after finding the net against Tottenham recently.
Brentford, meanwhile, have struggled against top-six opposition on their travels, securing just one point from five such away trips this term.
While the Bees have shown resilience in their recent form with just one defeat in five matches, their road record suggests they'll face an uphill battle at a venue where Forest have consistently delivered this season.
The hosts will be eager to bounce back from their FA Cup disappointment against Manchester City, knowing victory would catapult them to third in the table and significantly strengthen their Champions League credentials.
Nottingham vs. Brentford form
Nottingham vs. Brentford head to head
Nottingham
33%
Brentford
67%
Dec 21, 2024
Brentford
0 : 2
Nottingham
Jan 20, 2024
Brentford
3 : 2
Nottingham
Oct 1, 2023
Nottingham
1 : 1
Brentford
Apr 29, 2023
Brentford
2 : 1
Nottingham
Nov 5, 2022
Nottingham
2 : 2
Brentford
Mar 20, 2021
Brentford
1 : 1
Nottingham
