Nottingham vs Brentford Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips

Nottingham Forest aim to bounce back from their FA Cup exit as they host Brentford in a crucial Premier League clash that could see them climb to third in the table with a victory.

The Reds have transformed their City Ground into a fortress this season, losing just once in their last 10 home league fixtures (W7, D2), while the mid-table Bees have little left to play for with just two wins from their last seven outings.

Nottingham vs. Brentford prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Nottingham vs Brentford matchup, our predictive model gives the Forest a 77.5% chance of defeating the Bees.

Nottingham: 77.5% win probability

Exceptional recent form (WLLWW indicates they've won 3 of their last 5 matches)
Superior league position (6th place with 60 points compared to Brentford's 11th place)
Strong defensive record (39 goals conceded in 33 matches, significantly better than Brentford's 50 goals conceded in 33 matches)

Brentford: 22.5% win probability

Inconsistent recent form (WDDLW shows only 2 wins in their last 5 matches)
Poor away performance (implied by their mid-table position despite decent goal-scoring)
Defensive vulnerability (50 goals conceded in 33 matches, ranking them in the bottom half for defensive solidity)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts.

Nottingham vs. Brentford odds

Here are the latest odds as Nottingham host Brentford in Premier League action on Thursday, May 01.

	Nottingham	Brentford	Draw
Match Result	11/10 (via William Hill)	9/4 (via William Hill)	13/5 ( via Betway UK)

Nottingham vs. Brentford preview

Nottingham Forest's push for an improbable Champions League spot continues Thursday night as they welcome a Brentford side with little left to play for this season.

The Reds have turned the City Ground into a genuine fortress, losing just once in their last 10 home league fixtures while collecting 23 points from a possible 30 during that impressive run.

Chris Wood's remarkable campaign—19 goals in 31 league appearances—has been the driving force behind Forest's European ambitions, with the New Zealand striker looking to add to his tally after finding the net against Tottenham recently.

Brentford, meanwhile, have struggled against top-six opposition on their travels, securing just one point from five such away trips this term.

While the Bees have shown resilience in their recent form with just one defeat in five matches, their road record suggests they'll face an uphill battle at a venue where Forest have consistently delivered this season.

The hosts will be eager to bounce back from their FA Cup disappointment against Manchester City, knowing victory would catapult them to third in the table and significantly strengthen their Champions League credentials.

Nottingham vs. Brentford betting tips

Nottingham Forest to Win (6/5)

Brentford @ Nottingham

Forest have a clear motivation edge as they chase a potential third-place finish while Brentford are settled in mid-table with little to play for.

The home side's impressive record of seven wins from their last ten league matches at the City Ground gives them significant momentum heading into this fixture.

Brentford's away form against top-six opposition has been particularly poor, collecting just a single point from five matches against the division's elite teams.

Forest can capitalize on their home advantage against a Bees side that may already have one eye on their summer holidays.

With the backing of their vocal home support, Forest should have enough quality to secure all three points in what remains a crucial fixture for their ambitions.

Nottingham Forest to Win 2-1 (8/1)

Brentford @ Nottingham

While Forest are tipped to claim victory, they'll likely need to score multiple goals to overcome a Brentford side that consistently finds the net on their travels.

The Bees have demonstrated their attacking threat by scoring in an impressive 14 of their 17 away league fixtures this season.

Forest's recent defensive record shows vulnerability, having conceded in each of their last four matches across all competitions.

This scoreline represents a balance between Forest's strong home form and Brentford's ability to trouble opposition defenses even in defeat.

The combination of Forest's attacking prowess and their occasional defensive lapses makes a 2-1 home win a compelling prediction for this Premier League clash.

Chris Wood To Score Anytime (69/50)

Brentford @ Nottingham

Chris Wood has rediscovered his scoring touch after returning from a hip injury, finding the net in Forest's impressive victory over Tottenham.

The New Zealand international has been in exceptional form this season with a remarkable tally of 19 goals in just 31 league appearances.

Wood's aerial presence and clinical finishing make him Forest's most dangerous attacking threat and the most likely candidate to breach Brentford's defense.

His experience and composure in front of goal have been crucial to Forest's success this season, particularly at the City Ground.

With Forest expected to dominate proceedings and create numerous chances, Wood stands out as the prime candidate to continue his impressive scoring run.

Key stats

1
Nottingham sit 6th in the table with 60 points from 33 matches, making them slight favourites at home against 11th-placed Brentford
2
Brentford (46 points from 33 games) have a game in hand like Nottingham but sit 14 points behind them in the standings
3
Nottingham's recent form (WLLWW) shows inconsistency despite their strong position, winning 3 of their last 5 matches
4
Brentford have been solid if unspectacular lately with a WDDLW record in their previous five fixtures, scoring 56 goals this season (more than Nottingham's 53)