Manchester City aim to cement their top-five position in the Premier League when they host an in-form Wolves side riding a six-match winning streak.
Despite missing key players including Erling Haaland, the Citizens have found impressive form with six wins in their last seven competitive fixtures.
Friday's clash pits City's formidable home record against a free-scoring Wolves team that has found the net in 13 consecutive matches across all competitions.
Manchester City vs. Wolves prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Manchester City vs Wolves matchup, our predictive model gives the Citizens an 80% chance of defeating the Wanderers.
Pre-game probabilities

Manchester City
Moneyline
Win %
80%
20%

Wolves
Manchester City: 80% win probability
- Strong home advantage (18 wins in 34 matches overall)
- Impressive goal-scoring ability (66 goals scored this season, 4th best in the league)
- Excellent current form (Won 4 of their last 5 matches as shown by WWWDW)
Wolves: 20% win probability
- Poor defensive record (61 goals conceded, 3rd worst among teams in top half)
- Inconsistent away performance (12 losses in 34 matches)
- Position disparity (13th in table vs Man City's 4th, showing a clear quality gap)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts..
Manchester City | Wolves | Draw | |
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Match Result |
Manchester City vs. Wolves preview
Manchester City return to Premier League action looking to solidify their Champions League qualification hopes as they host an in-form Wolves side riding a remarkable six-match winning streak.
Despite missing key figures like Erling Haaland and Rodri through injury, City have found their rhythm with six wins from their last seven matches, including last weekend's composed FA Cup victory over Nottingham Forest.
Pep Guardiola will need to navigate another match without several defensive stalwarts, with John Stones and Nathan Aké joining Rodri on the treatment table.
Wolves arrive at the Etihad brimming with confidence after putting three past Leicester, with Matheus Cunha and Jorgen Strand Larsen forming a potent attacking partnership that has helped them score in 13 consecutive matches.
The visitors' recent defensive solidity—conceding just four goals in their last six outings—will face its sternest test against a City side that has netted exactly twice in six of their last eight fixtures.
Watch for City's left-sided defenders to continue their surprising goal threat, with Josko Gvardiol and Nico O'Reilly combining for multiple strikes in recent weeks.
Manchester City vs. Wolves form


Manchester City vs. Wolves head to head

Manchester City
83%

Wolves
17%
Oct 20, 2024
Wolves
1 : 2
Manchester City
May 4, 2024
Manchester City
5 : 1
Wolves
Sep 30, 2023
Wolves
2 : 1
Manchester City
Jan 22, 2023
Manchester City
3 : 0
Wolves
Sep 17, 2022
Wolves
0 : 3
Manchester City
May 11, 2022
Wolves
1 : 5
Manchester City