Arsenal aim to bounce back from their Champions League disappointment against PSG as they host a resilient Bournemouth side in Saturday's late Premier League kick-off.
Despite their strong home record with just one league defeat all season, the Gunners face several injury concerns including Gabriel Magalhães and Kai Havertz as they prepare for this crucial fixture.
Bournemouth, meanwhile, arrive with just one win in their last 11 matches but have proven difficult to beat on the road and will look to replicate their 2-0 victory over Arsenal earlier this season.
Arsenal vs. Bournemouth prediction: who will win?
For today's Arsenal vs Bournemouth matchup, our predictive model gives the Gunners a 72.5% chance of defeating the Cherries.
Pre-game probabilities
Arsenal
Moneyline
Win %
72.5%
27.5%
Bournemouth
Arsenal: 72.5% win probability
- Superior defensive record (29 goals conceded, second-best in the league)
- Strong home form (currently 2nd in the table with 67 points)
- Consistent performance (DWDDW recent form shows resilience and stability)
Bournemouth: 27.5% win probability
- Defensive vulnerability (41 goals conceded, significantly higher than Arsenal's 29)
- Recent form inconsistency (DDWDL showing mixed results in crucial matches)
- Struggling away performance (10th in table with 50 points, 17 points behind Arsenal)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts..
| Arsenal | Bournemouth | Draw | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result |
Arsenal vs. Bournemouth preview
Arsenal welcome Bournemouth to the Emirates looking for a vital bounce-back performance after their deflating 1-0 Champions League defeat to PSG midweek.
The Gunners, with just one home league loss all season, face significant selection challenges with six potential absentees including Gabriel Magalhães and Kai Havertz.
Bournemouth arrive in mixed form but have proven difficult to beat on the road, going unbeaten in their last three away league fixtures while finding the net in nine of their last ten matches overall.
When these sides met in October, the Cherries stunned Arsenal with a 2-0 victory through goals from Ryan Christie and Justin Kluivert – though Christie now joins Bournemouth's injury list alongside Luis Sinisterra and Enes Ünal.
Leandro Trossard could be key for the hosts, having netted four times in his last four league appearances, as Mikel Arteta attempts to balance European ambitions with maintaining their impressive home record.
With Arsenal needing points to secure their top-five position and the Cherries still harboring European football aspirations of their own, expect an entertaining contest where both teams should find the target.
Arsenal vs. Bournemouth form
Arsenal vs. Bournemouth head to head
Arsenal
83%
Bournemouth
17%
Oct 19, 2024
Bournemouth
2 : 0
Arsenal
May 4, 2024
Arsenal
3 : 0
Bournemouth
Sep 30, 2023
Bournemouth
0 : 4
Arsenal
Mar 4, 2023
Arsenal
3 : 2
Bournemouth
Aug 20, 2022
Bournemouth
0 : 3
Arsenal
Jan 27, 2020
Bournemouth
1 : 2
Arsenal
