Arsenal vs Bournemouth Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips

Arsenal aim to bounce back from their Champions League disappointment against PSG as they host a resilient Bournemouth side in Saturday's late Premier League kick-off.

Despite their strong home record with just one league defeat all season, the Gunners face several injury concerns including Gabriel Magalhães and Kai Havertz as they prepare for this crucial fixture.

Bournemouth, meanwhile, arrive with just one win in their last 11 matches but have proven difficult to beat on the road and will look to replicate their 2-0 victory over Arsenal earlier this season.

Arsenal vs. Bournemouth prediction: who will win?

For today's Arsenal vs Bournemouth matchup, our predictive model gives the Gunners a 72.5% chance of defeating the Cherries.

Arsenal: 72.5% win probability

Superior defensive record (29 goals conceded, second-best in the league)
Strong home form (currently 2nd in the table with 67 points)
Consistent performance (DWDDW recent form shows resilience and stability)

Bournemouth: 27.5% win probability

Defensive vulnerability (41 goals conceded, significantly higher than Arsenal's 29)
Recent form inconsistency (DDWDL showing mixed results in crucial matches)
Struggling away performance (10th in table with 50 points, 17 points behind Arsenal)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts.

Arsenal vs. Bournemouth odds

Here are the latest odds as Arsenal hosts Bournemouth in this Premier League fixture set for Saturday, May 03.

	Arsenal	Bournemouth	Draw
Match Result	11/10 (via Betway UK)	12/5 (via Betway UK)	12/5 ( via Betway UK)

Arsenal vs. Bournemouth preview

Arsenal welcome Bournemouth to the Emirates looking for a vital bounce-back performance after their deflating 1-0 Champions League defeat to PSG midweek.

The Gunners, with just one home league loss all season, face significant selection challenges with six potential absentees including Gabriel Magalhães and Kai Havertz.

Bournemouth arrive in mixed form but have proven difficult to beat on the road, going unbeaten in their last three away league fixtures while finding the net in nine of their last ten matches overall.

When these sides met in October, the Cherries stunned Arsenal with a 2-0 victory through goals from Ryan Christie and Justin Kluivert – though Christie now joins Bournemouth's injury list alongside Luis Sinisterra and Enes Ünal.

Leandro Trossard could be key for the hosts, having netted four times in his last four league appearances, as Mikel Arteta attempts to balance European ambitions with maintaining their impressive home record.

With Arsenal needing points to secure their top-five position and the Cherries still harboring European football aspirations of their own, expect an entertaining contest where both teams should find the target.

Arsenal vs. Bournemouth betting tips

Arsenal to Win (91/100)

Bournemouth @ Arsenal

Arsenal's exceptional home form this season makes them strong favorites against an inconsistent Bournemouth side at the Emirates.

The Gunners have lost just once in 17 home league games, establishing their North London fortress as a venue where few teams survive.

Though Mikel Arteta's squad might have one eye on their upcoming Champions League semi-final second leg, they still need Premier League points to secure their top-five position.

Bournemouth arrive with just a single victory in their last 11 matches, showing vulnerability that Arsenal should exploit.

This matchup presents a perfect opportunity for the Gunners to bounce back from their European disappointment and maintain pressure in the title race.

Both Teams to Score (4/5)

Bournemouth @ Arsenal

Bournemouth's attacking threat shouldn't be underestimated, having scored in 9 of their last 10 matches across all competitions.

Arsenal's recent defensive record shows some vulnerability with both teams scoring in four of their last five league fixtures.

The Cherries have enough attacking quality to trouble an Arsenal backline that might be slightly distracted by their upcoming European commitments.

Though Arsenal should win, their recent tendency to concede suggests we're unlikely to see a clean sheet at the Emirates.

This BTTS bet offers solid value considering the attacking capabilities of both sides and their recent scoring patterns.

Leandro Trossard To Score Anytime (8/5)

Bournemouth @ Arsenal

Trossard is enjoying a rich vein of form with four goals in his last four Premier League appearances, making him Arsenal's hottest attacking threat.

The Belgian forward has consistently found pockets of space in opposition defenses and demonstrated clinical finishing in recent weeks.

His versatility across the frontline allows him to pop up in dangerous positions, giving Bournemouth's defense multiple problems to solve.

Arsenal's fluid attacking system creates numerous opportunities for their forwards, and Trossard has proven himself adept at capitalizing on these chances.

With Bournemouth's defensive frailties and Trossard's current confidence in front of goal, he represents excellent value in the anytime scorer market.

Key stats

1
Arsenal sit second in the table with 67 points from 34 matches, having lost just 3 games all season
2
Arsenal's recent form (DWDDW) shows they're unbeaten in their last 5 matches, though with three draws in that span
3
Bournemouth currently sit 10th with 50 points, showing mid-table stability with a balanced record of 13 wins, 11 draws, and 10 losses
4
Arsenal boast the league's second-best defense, conceding just 29 goals in 34 matches - a key factor when considering total goals markets