Aston Villa vs Fulham Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips

Aston Villa look to bounce back from their crushing FA Cup semifinal defeat as they welcome Fulham to Villa Park in a clash that could bolster their Premier League ambitions.

The Villans, unbeaten in their last 16 home league matches, face a Fulham side fresh off a dramatic comeback win against Southampton where Emile Smith Rowe continued his resurgence with a crucial goal.

With both teams possessing attacking firepower and Villa having won five of their last six head-to-head meetings, fans can expect an entertaining encounter with goals at both ends.

Aston Villa vs. Fulham prediction: who will win?

For today's Aston Villa vs Fulham matchup, our predictive model gives the Villa a 72.5% chance of defeating the Cottagers.

Aston Villa: 72.5% win probability

Superior recent form (LWWWW in last 5 matches compared to Fulham's WLLWL)
Better defensive record (49 goals conceded compared to Fulham's 46, despite scoring at a similar rate)
Higher league position (7th with 57 points versus Fulham's 8th with 51 points)

Fulham: 27.5% win probability

Poor recent form (WLLWL with 3 losses in their last 5 matches)
Inconsistent away performances (11 losses this season, indicating vulnerability on the road)
Lower goal-scoring efficiency (50 goals from 34 matches compared to Villa's 54 from the same number of games)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts.

Aston Villa vs. Fulham odds

Here are the latest odds for the Premier League clash between Aston Villa (home) and Fulham on Saturday, May 03.

	Aston Villa	Fulham	Draw
Match Result	39/50 (via Betway UK)	16/5 (via Betway UK)	14/5 ( via Betway UK)

Aston Villa vs. Fulham preview

Unai Emery's Aston Villa look to bounce back from their crushing FA Cup semi-final defeat to Crystal Palace as they welcome a resurgent Fulham side to Villa Park this Saturday afternoon.

The Villans have transformed their home ground into a veritable fortress, remaining unbeaten in their last 16 league matches there, though they'll need to tighten a defense that has conceded in five of their last six outings.

Marco Silva's Cottagers arrive in positive spirits following their dramatic comeback victory over Southampton, with substitute Emile Smith Rowe making a compelling case for a starting berth after finding the net last weekend.

Villa will be bolstered by the potential returns of both John McGinn and talisman Ollie Watkins to the starting lineup, though January acquisition Marcus Rashford remains sidelined with a hamstring issue.

The hosts have enjoyed recent dominance in this fixture, winning five of their last six meetings including a comfortable 3-1 victory at Craven Cottage back in October.

With both teams showcasing attacking intent in recent weeks, Villa Park could witness an entertaining affair as the Villans aim to strengthen their grip on European qualification while Fulham seek to end their five-match winless streak on Villa's turf.

Aston Villa vs. Fulham betting tips

Aston Villa to Win (9/10)

Fulham @ Aston Villa

Aston Villa have been formidable at Villa Park this season, going unbeaten in Premier League home fixtures since August.

Unai Emery's squad can now fully concentrate on securing a top-five finish after their exits from both Champions League and FA Cup competitions.

The Villans demonstrated their quality against Fulham earlier this season when they secured victory in the reverse fixture.

Home advantage has been pivotal for Villa this season, with their strong defensive organization and quick counterattacking style proving effective against most visitors.

With Champions League qualification still in their sights, expect Villa to come out firing against a Fulham side with little left to play for this season.

Over 2.5 Total Goals (17/20)

Fulham @ Aston Villa

Both teams have shown attacking intent in recent fixtures, suggesting we could see multiple goals at Villa Park on Saturday.

Villa's home matches have frequently produced entertaining, high-scoring affairs with 65% of their home games seeing over 2.5 goals this season.

Fulham aren't afraid to play on the front foot away from home and have both scored and conceded consistently on their travels.

The earlier meeting between these sides produced multiple goals, indicating their styles naturally create scoring opportunities.

With Villa pushing for European qualification and Fulham playing without pressure, expect an open game with both teams contributing to the scoresheet.

Ollie Watkins To Score Anytime (13/10)

Fulham @ Aston Villa

Watkins has been Villa's most potent attacking threat this season, leading their Premier League scoring charts with 15 goals.

The England striker found the net in the reverse fixture against Fulham back in October, suggesting he matches up well against their defensive line.

Despite occasionally being rotated with Marcus Rashford, Watkins remains Emery's first-choice striker for important fixtures.

His movement in the box and ability to find space behind defenders makes him a constant threat, particularly at Villa Park where he thrives on service from wide areas.

With Villa expected to dominate possession and create multiple chances, Watkins stands out as the most likely finisher in what should be an attacking display from the home side.

Key stats

1
Aston Villa sits 7th in the table with 57 points, having won 16 of their 34 matches this season
2
Villa are in excellent form with four wins in their last five matches (LWWWW)
3
Fulham currently occupies 8th position with 51 points, just 6 points behind Villa
4
Fulham's recent form has been inconsistent (WLLWL), winning just twice in their last five matches