Aston Villa look to bounce back from their crushing FA Cup semifinal defeat as they welcome Fulham to Villa Park in a clash that could bolster their Premier League ambitions.
The Villans, unbeaten in their last 16 home league matches, face a Fulham side fresh off a dramatic comeback win against Southampton where Emile Smith Rowe continued his resurgence with a crucial goal.
With both teams possessing attacking firepower and Villa having won five of their last six head-to-head meetings, fans can expect an entertaining encounter with goals at both ends.
Aston Villa vs. Fulham prediction: who will win?
For today's Aston Villa vs Fulham matchup, our predictive model gives the Villa a 72.5% chance of defeating the Cottagers.
Pre-game probabilities
Aston Villa
Moneyline
Win %
72.5%
27.5%
Fulham
Aston Villa: 72.5% win probability
- Superior recent form (LWWWW in last 5 matches compared to Fulham's WLLWL)
- Better defensive record (49 goals conceded compared to Fulham's 46, despite scoring at a similar rate)
- Higher league position (7th with 57 points versus Fulham's 8th with 51 points)
Fulham: 27.5% win probability
- Poor recent form (WLLWL with 3 losses in their last 5 matches)
- Inconsistent away performances (11 losses this season, indicating vulnerability on the road)
- Lower goal-scoring efficiency (50 goals from 34 matches compared to Villa's 54 from the same number of games)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts..
| Aston Villa | Fulham | Draw | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result |
Aston Villa vs. Fulham preview
Unai Emery's Aston Villa look to bounce back from their crushing FA Cup semi-final defeat to Crystal Palace as they welcome a resurgent Fulham side to Villa Park this Saturday afternoon.
The Villans have transformed their home ground into a veritable fortress, remaining unbeaten in their last 16 league matches there, though they'll need to tighten a defense that has conceded in five of their last six outings.
Marco Silva's Cottagers arrive in positive spirits following their dramatic comeback victory over Southampton, with substitute Emile Smith Rowe making a compelling case for a starting berth after finding the net last weekend.
Villa will be bolstered by the potential returns of both John McGinn and talisman Ollie Watkins to the starting lineup, though January acquisition Marcus Rashford remains sidelined with a hamstring issue.
The hosts have enjoyed recent dominance in this fixture, winning five of their last six meetings including a comfortable 3-1 victory at Craven Cottage back in October.
With both teams showcasing attacking intent in recent weeks, Villa Park could witness an entertaining affair as the Villans aim to strengthen their grip on European qualification while Fulham seek to end their five-match winless streak on Villa's turf.
Aston Villa vs. Fulham form
Aston Villa vs. Fulham head to head
Aston Villa
83%
Fulham
17%
Oct 19, 2024
Fulham
1 : 3
Aston Villa
Feb 17, 2024
Fulham
1 : 2
Aston Villa
Nov 12, 2023
Aston Villa
3 : 1
Fulham
Apr 25, 2023
Aston Villa
1 : 0
Fulham
Oct 20, 2022
Fulham
3 : 0
Aston Villa
Apr 4, 2021
Aston Villa
3 : 1
Fulham
