Leicester City and Southampton face off in a Premier League basement battle where both teams will be fighting for pride as relegation looks all but certain for the struggling sides.
The Foxes have suffered 17 defeats in their last 19 league matches and haven't won at home in their last 10 games, creating a hostile atmosphere at King Power Stadium.
Southampton, meanwhile, have shown signs of improvement under interim manager Simon Rusk despite their dire position, finding the net in 11 of their last 14 matches and potentially reversing the 3-2 defeat they suffered against Leicester earlier this season.
Leicester vs. Southampton prediction: who will win?
For today's Leicester vs Southampton matchup, our predictive model gives the Foxes a 65% chance of defeating the Saints.
Pre-game probabilities
Leicester
Moneyline
Win %
65%
35%
Southampton
Leicester: 65% win probability
- Superior goal-scoring ability (27 goals vs Southampton's 25 this season)
- Better recent form (LLDLW compared to Southampton's LDLLD)
- Stronger home advantage (Currently fighting to avoid relegation with slightly better points total of 18 vs 11)
Southampton: 35% win probability
- Worst defensive record in the league (80 goals conceded in 34 matches)
- Poorest win record (just 2 wins all season compared to Leicester's 4)
- Struggling away form (Sitting bottom of the table with only 11 points from 34 games)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts..
| Leicester | Southampton | Draw | |
|---|---|---|---|
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Leicester vs. Southampton preview
Leicester City and Southampton clash in what can only be described as the Premier League's battle of the basement, with both sides destined for Championship football next season after woefully inadequate campaigns.
The Foxes enter this contest in dreadful form, having lost 17 of their last 19 league matches and failing to score in 12 of their last 14 outings – a concerning statistic that highlights their over-reliance on departing veteran Jamie Vardy.
Southampton, despite sitting at the foot of the table, have shown more attacking promise lately, finding the net on trips to several top-half sides and failing to score in just three of their last 14 matches.
The King Power Stadium has become a house of horrors for Leicester, who've suffered nine consecutive home defeats without scoring, turning what was once a fortress into a venue where even the league's worst visitors might fancy their chances.
Both sides met earlier this season in a five-goal thriller that Leicester edged 3-2, but with the Foxes now looking more fragile than their south coast counterparts, Simon Rusk's Saints might sense a rare opportunity to add to their meager points total.
Leicester vs. Southampton form
Leicester vs. Southampton head to head
Leicester
67%
Southampton
33%
Oct 19, 2024
Southampton
2 : 3
Leicester
Apr 23, 2024
Leicester
5 : 0
Southampton
Sep 15, 2023
Southampton
1 : 4
Leicester
Mar 4, 2023
Southampton
1 : 0
Leicester
Aug 20, 2022
Leicester
1 : 2
Southampton
May 22, 2022
Leicester
4 : 1
Southampton
