Brighton vs Newcastle Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips

Brighton welcome an in-form Newcastle side to the Amex Stadium on Sunday in what promises to be a goal-packed encounter between two European hopefuls.

The Seagulls aim to build on their dramatic 3-2 comeback win over West Ham, while Newcastle arrive having won seven of their last eight matches across all competitions.

With both teams averaging over three goals per game and dealing with key defensive absences, this clash sets up perfectly for an end-to-end thriller that could significantly impact both clubs' European ambitions.

Brighton vs. Newcastle prediction: who will win?

For today's Brighton vs Newcastle matchup, our predictive model gives the Magpies a 72.5% chance of defeating the Seagulls.

Newcastle: 72.5% win probability

Exceptional recent form (Won 4 of last 5 matches with WLWWW record)
Strong attacking capability (65 goals scored this season, 3rd highest in the league)
Superior league position (4th with 62 points compared to Brighton's 10th place)

Brighton: 27.5% win probability

Poor recent form (Won only 1 of last 5 matches with WLDLL record)
Defensive vulnerability (55 goals conceded, 11th worst defensive record)
Inconsistent home performances (Recent downturn suggests home advantage is minimal)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts.

Brighton vs. Newcastle odds

Here are the latest odds for the Premier League clash between Brighton and Newcastle, with Brighton hosting at the Amex Stadium on Sunday, May 04.

	Brighton	Newcastle	Draw
Match Result	7/4 (via William Hill)	13/10 (via William Hill)	11/4 ( via William Hill)

Brighton vs. Newcastle preview

Brighton will look to build on their dramatic 3-2 comeback win over West Ham when they host a red-hot Newcastle side at the Amex on Sunday afternoon.

The Seagulls have been involved in goal-fests recently with over 3.5 goals hitting in each of their last three matches, while Eddie Howe's men arrive having won seven of their last eight games across all competitions.

European qualification remains on the line for both sides, with Newcastle pushing for a Champions League spot while Brighton could still secure Conference League football with a strong finish.

Kaoru Mitoma, who netted a crucial late equalizer against West Ham, is pushing for a start in what promises to be an entertaining clash between two attack-minded outfits.

The visitors will be without Joelinton, Jamaal Lascelles and Lewis Hall through injury, but Alexander Isak continues his remarkable goalscoring form having notched his 22nd league goal in Newcastle's comfortable 3-0 win over Ipswich.

Recent meetings between these sides have produced plenty of fireworks, with Brighton winning three of their last six head-to-head encounters and goals flowing at both ends.

Brighton vs. Newcastle betting tips

Over 3.5 Match Goals (3/2)

Newcastle @ Brighton

Both Brighton and Newcastle have been scoring machines lately, creating the perfect storm for a high-scoring affair at the Amex Stadium.

Over 3.5 goals has hit in each of Brighton's last three matches, showcasing their commitment to attacking football regardless of defensive vulnerabilities.

The Magpies have seen at least four goals in three of their last four games, with Eddie Howe's men finding their offensive rhythm at the business end of the season.

Newcastle's European ambitions require them to push forward, while Brighton's recent matches suggest they'll contribute their fair share to the scoresheet.

With both teams having little to worry about defensively and plenty to gain from an open, attacking approach, expect the net to bulge repeatedly on Sunday.

Newcastle to Win (23/20)

Newcastle @ Brighton

Newcastle have significantly more to play for with a European spot within reach, giving them the edge in motivation over a Brighton side with less pressure.

The Magpies have found their scoring touch at the perfect time, netting at least three goals in four of their last five Premier League outings.

Brighton's defense has been leaky of late, conceding multiple goals in recent fixtures which plays perfectly into Newcastle's attacking strengths.

Eddie Howe's men will be buoyed by their recent form and see this as a must-win opportunity to solidify their position in the European race.

While Brighton remain dangerous at home, Newcastle's combination of offensive firepower and greater need for points should see them edge this entertaining clash.

Alexander Isak To Score Anytime (13/10)

Newcastle @ Brighton

Alexander Isak has been in sensational form, recently notching his 22nd Premier League goal of the season against Ipswich Town.

The Swedish striker has developed into one of the league's most clinical finishers, posing a constant threat with his pace, movement, and finishing ability.

Brighton's defense has looked vulnerable in recent weeks, providing ample opportunity for a predator of Isak's caliber to find the net.

His confidence is sky-high right now, and when Isak gets chances, he rarely wastes them in this kind of form.

With Newcastle pushing for European football, expect their main goalscoring threat to continue his hot streak at the Amex Stadium.

Key stats

1
Newcastle sits 4th in the table with 62 points from 34 matches, demonstrating solid form with 4 wins in their last 5 games (WLWWW)
2
Brighton occupies 10th position with 51 points, having won just once in their last 5 fixtures (WLDLL)
3
Newcastle boasts one of the league's most potent attacks with 65 goals scored, making them the 3rd highest scoring team in the competition
4
Despite their mid-table position, Brighton has been difficult to beat at home with only 9 losses in 34 matches, drawing 12 games this season