Chelsea vs Liverpool Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips

Chelsea welcome champions Liverpool to Stamford Bridge with both teams in impressive form, though only the Blues have something significant to play for as they chase a top-five finish.

The hosts have been formidable at home with seven wins in their last nine matches, while Liverpool come into this clash fresh off a title-clinching 5-1 demolition of Tottenham.

Despite being winless in their last 10 meetings with Liverpool, Chelsea's momentum and the Reds' potentially relaxed approach following their championship celebrations could set the stage for a rare Blues victory.

Chelsea vs. Liverpool prediction: who will win?

For today's Chelsea vs Liverpool matchup, our predictive model gives the Blues a 72.5% chance of defeating the Reds.

Chelsea: 72.5% win probability

Exceptional home form (Their recent form WWDDW shows impressive consistency)
Solid defensive structure (Only 40 goals conceded, the 3rd best defensive record in the league)
Unbeaten in recent matches (5-match unbeaten streak indicates growing momentum)

Liverpool: 27.5% win probability

Recent inconsistency (Despite 'WWWLW' form, they've shown vulnerability with a recent loss)
Potential complacency (As league leaders with 82 points, they may have less urgency)
Away match disadvantage (Chelsea's strong home record makes this a particularly challenging fixture)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts.

Chelsea vs. Liverpool odds

Here are the current odds for Premier League action on Sunday, May 04, as Chelsea host Liverpool at Stamford Bridge in what promises to be a high-stakes encounter between two of England's biggest clubs.

	Chelsea	Liverpool	Draw
Match Result	11/10 (via William Hill)	21/10 (via William Hill)	13/5 ( via William Hill)

Chelsea vs. Liverpool preview

Chelsea welcome newly-crowned champions Liverpool to Stamford Bridge on Sunday with Enzo Maresca's men still having plenty to fight for as they chase a top-five finish.

The Blues enter this clash in impressive home form, having gone unbeaten in their last eight league matches at Stamford Bridge while winning seven of their last nine across all competitions.

Liverpool, fresh off clinching the Premier League title with a commanding 5-1 demolition of Tottenham, arrive with the pressure off but face a Chelsea side they haven't lost to in their last seven league encounters.

Nicolas Jackson could be key for the hosts after rediscovering his scoring touch with three goals in his last two outings, including a brace against Djurgarden in midweek.

The timing might favor Chelsea with the Reds potentially experiencing a post-title celebration hangover, though Liverpool's attack remains formidable having scored in six consecutive matches.

This London showdown presents an intriguing contrast in motivations: Chelsea desperately chasing European qualification versus Liverpool playing with the freedom of champions already crowned.

Chelsea vs. Liverpool betting tips

Chelsea to Win (7/5)

Liverpool @ Chelsea

Chelsea enter this clash with impressive home form, having won seven of their last nine matches at Stamford Bridge across all competitions.

The Blues are riding a three-game winning streak overall, giving them significant momentum heading into this high-profile fixture.

Liverpool, having already secured the Premier League title with games to spare, may lack the same intensity and motivation they've shown throughout their championship campaign.

Chelsea have everything to play for as they battle for a top-five finish and Champions League qualification next season.

With Liverpool potentially easing off the gas and Chelsea desperate for points, the home side presents solid value to take all three points on Sunday.

Nicolas Jackson To Score Anytime (47/25)

Liverpool @ Chelsea

Nicolas Jackson appears to be hitting form at the perfect time after a period of inconsistency following his return from injury.

The Chelsea forward made an immediate impact in European competition, coming off the bench to score twice against Djurgarden in midweek.

Jackson now boasts three goals in his last two appearances, suggesting his confidence in front of goal has returned.

Liverpool's defense hasn't been impenetrable in recent fixtures, conceding in multiple games which should present opportunities for Chelsea's attackers.

With momentum on his side and growing confidence, Jackson represents strong value to find the net against the champions at Stamford Bridge.

Chelsea to Win 2-1 (9/1)

Liverpool @ Chelsea

Chelsea's recent league victories have all come by narrow one-goal margins, suggesting a tight contest rather than a comfortable win.

The Blues have been scoring consistently but have shown defensive vulnerabilities, conceding in four of their last five matches across all competitions.

Liverpool have demonstrated their attacking quality by finding the net in six consecutive fixtures, making it likely they'll score even in defeat.

With Chelsea pushing for Champions League qualification and Liverpool having already wrapped up the title, motivation favors a home win but not necessarily a clean sheet.

The combination of Chelsea's recent scoring form, defensive issues, and Liverpool's reliable attack points toward a narrow 2-1 home victory as a valuable correct score prediction.

Key stats

1
Liverpool leads the league with 82 points from 34 matches, winning 25 games and losing just twice this season.
2
Chelsea sits fifth in the table with 60 points, having won 17 matches and showing strong recent form (WWDDW).
3
The Reds boast the league's best attack with 80 goals scored while maintaining a solid defense (32 goals conceded).
4
Chelsea has been defensively sound with 40 goals conceded (5th best in the league) while scoring 59 goals in 34 matches.