Chelsea welcome champions Liverpool to Stamford Bridge with both teams in impressive form, though only the Blues have something significant to play for as they chase a top-five finish.
The hosts have been formidable at home with seven wins in their last nine matches, while Liverpool come into this clash fresh off a title-clinching 5-1 demolition of Tottenham.
Despite being winless in their last 10 meetings with Liverpool, Chelsea's momentum and the Reds' potentially relaxed approach following their championship celebrations could set the stage for a rare Blues victory.
Chelsea vs. Liverpool prediction: who will win?
For today's Chelsea vs Liverpool matchup, our predictive model gives the Blues a 72.5% chance of defeating the Reds.
Pre-game probabilities
Chelsea
Moneyline
Win %
72.5%
27.5%
Liverpool
Chelsea: 72.5% win probability
- Exceptional home form (Their recent form WWDDW shows impressive consistency)
- Solid defensive structure (Only 40 goals conceded, the 3rd best defensive record in the league)
- Unbeaten in recent matches (5-match unbeaten streak indicates growing momentum)
Liverpool: 27.5% win probability
- Recent inconsistency (Despite 'WWWLW' form, they've shown vulnerability with a recent loss)
- Potential complacency (As league leaders with 82 points, they may have less urgency)
- Away match disadvantage (Chelsea's strong home record makes this a particularly challenging fixture)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts.
Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts.
| Chelsea | Liverpool | Draw | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result |
Chelsea vs. Liverpool preview
Chelsea welcome newly-crowned champions Liverpool to Stamford Bridge on Sunday with Enzo Maresca's men still having plenty to fight for as they chase a top-five finish.
The Blues enter this clash in impressive home form, having gone unbeaten in their last eight league matches at Stamford Bridge while winning seven of their last nine across all competitions.
Liverpool, fresh off clinching the Premier League title with a commanding 5-1 demolition of Tottenham, arrive with the pressure off but face a Chelsea side they haven't lost to in their last seven league encounters.
Nicolas Jackson could be key for the hosts after rediscovering his scoring touch with three goals in his last two outings, including a brace against Djurgarden in midweek.
The timing might favor Chelsea with the Reds potentially experiencing a post-title celebration hangover, though Liverpool's attack remains formidable having scored in six consecutive matches.
This London showdown presents an intriguing contrast in motivations: Chelsea desperately chasing European qualification versus Liverpool playing with the freedom of champions already crowned.
Chelsea vs. Liverpool form
Chelsea vs. Liverpool head to head
Chelsea
0%
Liverpool
100%
Oct 20, 2024
Liverpool
2 : 1
Chelsea
Feb 25, 2024
Chelsea
0 : 0
Liverpool
Jan 31, 2024
Liverpool
4 : 1
Chelsea
Aug 13, 2023
Chelsea
1 : 1
Liverpool
Apr 4, 2023
Chelsea
0 : 0
Liverpool
Jan 21, 2023
Liverpool
0 : 0
Chelsea
